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Swit Mazowiecki vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Szczutowski A.
31' Event
Szyszkowski J.
69' Event
Manikowski M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki in this III Liga - Group I matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Swit Mazowiecki
15%
Draws
37%
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Swit Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Swit Mazowiecki haven't matched Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki's recent run of results.
  • Swit Mazowiecki are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Swit Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 13%
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swit Mazowiecki Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.66 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
1:2
Feb 24, 2024 Club Friendly
Swit Mazowiecki vs Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swit Mazowiecki Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki Compare

Top Goalscorer Szczutowski A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Szyszkowski J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swit Mazowiecki 57 / 100
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swit Mazowiecki Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Swit Mazowiecki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Swit Mazowiecki scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Swit Mazowiecki stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Swit Mazowiecki VS Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Swit Mazowiecki

(Home)
10 Oct
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 7
LKS Lodz II
03 Oct
MKS Mlawa
2 : 4
Swit Mazowiecki
25 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
4 : 0
LKS Lomza
18 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2
Swit Mazowiecki
12 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
0 : 1
KTS Weszlo
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Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki

(Away)
10 Oct
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
1 : 4
Pelikan
03 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 1
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
26 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
0 : 2
Suwalki
19 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
3 : 2
Plock II
11 Sept
Widzew Lodz II
2 : 3
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KTS Weszlo 12 9 2 1 26:10 29
2 Suwalki 12 7 4 1 22:11 25
3 Pelikan 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
4 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki 12 6 3 3 28:22 21
5 Plock II 12 6 3 3 24:19 21
6 Swit Mazowiecki 12 6 2 4 22:19 20
7 Zabkovia Zabki 11 5 2 4 21:20 17
8 Jagiellonia II 11 4 4 3 24:22 16
9 Olimpia Elblag 12 5 1 6 18:21 16
10 Warta Sieradz 11 4 3 4 19:19 15
11 LKS Lodz II 11 4 2 5 23:21 14
12 Widzew Lodz II 11 4 2 5 21:20 14
13 Olimpia Zambrow 11 4 2 5 23:27 14
14 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 11 4 1 6 21:23 13
15 Lidzbark Warmimski 12 3 3 6 19:24 12
16 MKS Mlawa 12 3 1 8 23:34 10
17 Troszyn 11 1 4 6 13:26 7
18 LKS Lomza 12 0 3 9 12:28 3
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)