Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Swit Mazowiecki vs MKS Mlawa

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Chodorski M.
33' Event
Stryjewski Ma.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Swit Mazowiecki
11%
Draws
80%
MKS Mlawa
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: MKS Mlawa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • MKS Mlawa have won more games recently than Swit Mazowiecki.
  • MKS Mlawa are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Swit Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%
MKS Mlawa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swit Mazowiecki MKS Mlawa
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 13
Draws 5 2
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.63 2
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs MKS Mlawa
1:1
Aug 30, 2025 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs Swit Mazowiecki
3:4
Apr 12, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs MKS Mlawa
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 III Liga - Group I
MKS Mlawa vs Swit Mazowiecki
6:0
May 3, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs MKS Mlawa
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swit Mazowiecki Compare

Top Goalscorer Chodorski M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

MKS Mlawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Stryjewski Ma.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swit Mazowiecki 10 / 100
MKS Mlawa 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swit Mazowiecki MKS Mlawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MLA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Swit Mazowiecki scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

MKS Mlawa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Swit Mazowiecki stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Swit Mazowiecki VS MKS Mlawa
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Swit Mazowiecki

(Home)
18 Jul
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 2
Pruszkow
15 Jul
Pelikan
2 : 1
Swit Mazowiecki
11 Jul
Swit Mazowiecki
3 : 1
Hutnik Warszawa
30 May
Suwalki
3 : 2
Swit Mazowiecki
23 May
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 3
Plock II
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MKS Mlawa

(Away)
18 Jul
MKS Mlawa
3 : 2
DKS Dobre Miasto
18 Jul
MKS Mlawa
4 : 0
Sokol Ostroda
11 Jul
MKS Mlawa
5 : 2
Blonianka Blonie
03 Jul
Pruszkow
4 : 1
MKS Mlawa
30 May
LKS Lomza
2 : 1
MKS Mlawa
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Legia II34273482:2984
2LKS Lomza34225777:3171
3Warta Sieradz34218564:3471
4Suwalki34205964:4365
5Troszyn341761175:4757
6Plock II341681056:5156
7Widzew Lodz II341731470:6454
8Jagiellonia II341471346:4549
9Tomaszow Mazowiecki341381364:5547
10Zabkovia Zabki341351672:6444
11Swit Mazowiecki341251751:6641
12MKS Mlawa341171655:5940
13Olimpia Elblag341081645:6138
14GKS Wikielec341071740:5437
15Bron Radom34991640:5736
16GKS Belchatow34971850:7634
17Wasilkow34742340:7925
18Znicz Biala Piska34432727:10315
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)