Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Swit Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Elblag

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Czernis M.

AI Match Summary

Swit Mazowiecki host Olimpia Elblag in the III Liga - Group I 2025/2026. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Olimpia Elblag have shipped 1.75 goals a game lately, while Swit Mazowiecki have conceded 2.13 and scored 1.88. Head-to-head, Swit Mazowiecki have won 1 to Olimpia Elblag's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.56, favoring Olimpia Elblag. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Swit Mazowiecki
33%
Draws
27%
Olimpia Elblag
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Swit Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Olimpia Elblag has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Swit Mazowiecki.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Swit Mazowiecki.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Swit Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 15%
Olimpia Elblag Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swit Mazowiecki Olimpia Elblag
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 9 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Elblag
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Olimpia Elblag vs Swit Mazowiecki
1:1
May 11, 2014 Division 2 - East
Swit Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Elblag
1:2
Oct 12, 2013 Division 2 - East
Olimpia Elblag vs Swit Mazowiecki
0:1
Apr 20, 2013 Division 2 - East
Swit Mazowiecki vs Olimpia Elblag
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Swit Mazowiecki Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Olimpia Elblag Compare

Top Goalscorer Czernis M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swit Mazowiecki 39 / 100
Olimpia Elblag 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swit Mazowiecki Olimpia Elblag

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SWI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swit Mazowiecki scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Olimpia Elblag let in goals in 67% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Swit Mazowiecki went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Olimpia Elblag lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Swit Mazowiecki VS Olimpia Elblag
1.88 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Legia II34273482:2984
2LKS Lomza34225777:3171
3Warta Sieradz34218564:3471
4Suwalki34205964:4365
5Troszyn341761175:4757
6Plock II341681056:5156
7Widzew Lodz II341731470:6454
8Jagiellonia II341471346:4549
9Tomaszow Mazowiecki341381364:5547
10Zabkovia Zabki341351672:6444
11Swit Mazowiecki341251751:6641
12MKS Mlawa341171655:5940
13Olimpia Elblag341081645:6138
14GKS Wikielec341071740:5437
15Bron Radom34991640:5736
16GKS Belchatow34971850:7634
17Wasilkow34742340:7925
18Znicz Biala Piska34432727:10315