Sport Picks
Swit Mazowiecki vs Sokol Ostroda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 
Match Events
7'
7'
Yampol Y.
45'
45'
Yampol Y.
50'
50'
Radionov E.
AI Match Summary
Swit Mazowiecki in this III Liga - Group I 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Swit Mazowiecki.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Swit Mazowiecki
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sokol Ostroda haven't matched Swit Mazowiecki's recent run of results.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Swit Mazowiecki taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Swit Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 20%
Sokol Ostroda Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Swit Mazowiecki | Sokol Ostroda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 2.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 11, 2023 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Sokol Ostroda
5:0
Aug 12, 2022 III Liga - Group I
Sokol Ostroda vs Swit Mazowiecki
2:3
Apr 25, 2020 III Liga - Group I
Sokol Ostroda vs Swit Mazowiecki
0:0
Sep 20, 2019 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Sokol Ostroda
0:1
Mar 17, 2019 III Liga - Group I
Swit Mazowiecki vs Sokol Ostroda
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Swit Mazowiecki Compare
Top Goalscorer Yampol Y.
2 Goals Assists Leader Radionov E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25
Sokol Ostroda Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Swit Mazowiecki 85 / 100
Sokol Ostroda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Swit Mazowiecki Sokol Ostroda
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Swit Mazowiecki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Swit Mazowiecki scored in 83% of their last 29 games.
Sokol Ostroda has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Swit Mazowiecki went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Swit Mazowiecki VS Sokol Ostroda
2 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Swit Mazowiecki
(Home) 03 Oct
MKS Mlawa
2 : 4 Swit Mazowiecki
25 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
4 : 0 LKS Lomza
18 Sept
Tomaszow Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Swit Mazowiecki
12 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
0 : 1 KTS Weszlo
04 Sept
Pelikan
4 : 1 Swit Mazowiecki
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25 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
4 : 0 LKS Lomza
12 Sept
Swit Mazowiecki
0 : 1 KTS Weszlo
29 Aug
Swit Mazowiecki
2 : 1 Warta Sieradz
19 Aug
Swit Mazowiecki
1 : 2 Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
08 Aug
Swit Mazowiecki
4 : 0 Olimpia Zambrow
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Sokol Ostroda
(Away) 02 Sept
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2 Kleczew
18 Jul
MKS Mlawa
4 : 0 Sokol Ostroda
17 Jun
Ursus Warszawa
1 : 2 Sokol Ostroda
10 Jun
Sokol Ostroda
2 : 1 Blonianka Blonie
07 Jun
Sokol Ostroda
1 : 2 Tomaszow Mazowiecki
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
MKS Mlawa
4 : 0 Sokol Ostroda
17 Jun
Ursus Warszawa
1 : 2 Sokol Ostroda
28 May
Pelikan
1 : 1 Sokol Ostroda
21 May
Jagiellonia II
3 : 1 Sokol Ostroda
06 May
Unia Skierniewice
2 : 0 Sokol Ostroda
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LKS Lodz II | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76:41 | 68 |
| 2 | Legionowo | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 71:43 | 64 |
| 3 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62:39 | 64 |
| 4 | Swit Mazowiecki | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 66:45 | 61 |
| 5 | Legia II | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 66:48 | 55 |
| 6 | Tomaszow Mazowiecki | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 51:43 | 55 |
| 7 | Unia Skierniewice | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 41:38 | 53 |
| 8 | MKS Mlawa | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 83:71 | 52 |
| 9 | Jagiellonia II | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 65:54 | 49 |
| 10 | Pilica Bialobrzegi | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 53:55 | 45 |
| 11 | Pelikan | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56:52 | 45 |
| 12 | Sokol Ostroda | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 49:71 | 36 |
| 13 | Olimpia Zambrow | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 40:63 | 36 |
| 14 | Bron Radom | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 60:76 | 35 |
| 15 | Warta Sieradz | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39:53 | 34 |
| 16 | Concordia Elblag | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 38:61 | 33 |
| 17 | Blonianka Blonie | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 35:68 | 30 |
| 18 | Ursus Warszawa | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 42:72 | 25 |
Promotion - Division 2 2023/2024 (Main)
