Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026

Swit Mazowiecki

1 - 0

Widzew Lodz II

Our Tip

Match Events

89'

Kucharczyk M.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 game between Swit Mazowiecki and Widzew Lodz II finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Swit Mazowiecki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Swit Mazowiecki

30%

Draws

34%

Widzew Lodz II

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Swit Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Widzew Lodz II come out ahead of Swit Mazowiecki on wins alone.
Win probability leans Swit Mazowiecki's way, sitting at 36%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%

Swit Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%

Widzew Lodz II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Swit Mazowiecki	Widzew Lodz II
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	10	15
Draws	4	2
Losses	15	11
Goals Scored	1.88	2.13
Goals Conceded	1.88	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 III Liga - Group I

Swit Mazowiecki vs Widzew Lodz II

Possession: 44% - 43% Cards: 0 - 1

1:0

Aug 23, 2025 III Liga - Group I

Widzew Lodz II vs Swit Mazowiecki

Possession: 41% - 53% Cards: 4 - 2

5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swit Mazowiecki 34 / 100

Widzew Lodz II 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Swit Mazowiecki Widzew Lodz II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swit Mazowiecki scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Widzew Lodz II let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Swit Mazowiecki stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Swit Mazowiecki VS Widzew Lodz II

1.88 Goals Scored 2.13

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 75%

63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Legia II	34	27	3	4	82:29	84
2	LKS Lomza	34	22	5	7	77:31	71
3	Warta Sieradz	34	21	8	5	64:34	71
4	Suwalki	34	20	5	9	64:43	65
5	Troszyn	34	17	6	11	75:47	57
6	Plock II	34	16	8	10	56:51	56
7	Widzew Lodz II	34	17	3	14	70:64	54
8	Jagiellonia II	34	14	7	13	46:45	49
9	Tomaszow Mazowiecki	34	13	8	13	64:55	47
10	Zabkovia Zabki	34	13	5	16	72:64	44
11	Swit Mazowiecki	34	12	5	17	51:66	41
12	MKS Mlawa	34	11	7	16	55:59	40
13	Olimpia Elblag	34	10	8	16	45:61	38
14	GKS Wikielec	34	10	7	17	40:54	37
15	Bron Radom	34	9	9	16	40:57	36
16	GKS Belchatow	34	9	7	18	50:76	34
17	Wasilkow	34	7	4	23	40:79	25
18	Znicz Biala Piska	34	4	3	27	27:103	15