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Swit Szczecin vs KS Wierzyca Pelplin

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Swit Szczecin play KS Wierzyca Pelplin in the III Liga - Group II 2018/2019. Swit Szczecin are favorites here. Recently, Swit Szczecin averaged 1.52 goals scored and 1.67 conceded. KS Wierzyca Pelplin averaged 1.14 goals scored and 2.69 conceded. In past meetings, Swit Szczecin won 4, KS Wierzyca Pelplin won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 17, 2019 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Swit Szczecin and 1.31 for KS Wierzyca Pelplin. This points to a Swit Szczecin double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Swit Szczecin
19%
Draws
14%
KS Wierzyca Pelplin
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Swit Szczecin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Swit Szczecin picked up more points recently compared to KS Wierzyca Pelplin.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.31 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Swit Szczecin Clean Sheet 18%
KS Wierzyca Pelplin Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Swit Szczecin KS Wierzyca Pelplin
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 12 2
Draws 7 4
Losses 14 23
Goals Scored 1.52 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.69

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Swit Szczecin vs KS Wierzyca Pelplin
4:0
Aug 15, 2018 III Liga - Group II
KS Wierzyca Pelplin vs Swit Szczecin
0:0
Apr 21, 2018 III Liga - Group II
KS Wierzyca Pelplin vs Swit Szczecin
0:3
Sep 16, 2017 III Liga - Group II
Swit Szczecin vs KS Wierzyca Pelplin
2:1
May 8, 2016 III Liga - Group I
Swit Szczecin vs KS Wierzyca Pelplin
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Swit Szczecin 64 / 100
KS Wierzyca Pelplin 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Swit Szczecin KS Wierzyca Pelplin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Swit Szczecin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Swit Szczecin & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +13.2%
1.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Swit Szczecin attacking → ← attacking KS Wierzyca Pelplin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Swit Szczecin scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

KS Wierzyca Pelplin let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Swit Szczecin went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

KS Wierzyca Pelplin lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 10
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lech Poznan II34236586:3375
2KKS Kalisz34216770:3769
3Stezyca34216775:3769
4Kotwica Kolobrzeg34208670:4168
5KS Mieszko Gniezno341941174:5361
6Polonia Sroda Wielkopol341931259:4460
7Swit Szczecin341610850:3358
8B. Gdynia341831359:5057
9Kleczew341651348:5053
10Starogard Gdanski341491156:3751
11Pogon Szczecin II341431752:5945
12Gornik Konin341251746:5641
13Baltyk Koszalin341241857:7540
14Jarocin341081637:5038
15Gwardia Koszalin341032135:7133
16Chemik Bydgoszcz34932238:6630
17KS Wierzyca Pelplin34352634:8114
18Wda Swiecie34152820:938