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Switzerland vs Colombia

World World

World Championship 2026 BC Place
Tue, Jul 7, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Switzerland play Colombia in the World Championship 2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Switzerland averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Colombia averaged 1.79 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. In past meetings, Switzerland won 1, Colombia won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 25, 2007 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Switzerland and 1.50 for Colombia. This points to a Colombia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Switzerland
21%
Draws
40%
Colombia
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Colombia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Switzerland picked up more points recently compared to Colombia.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Switzerland Clean Sheet 16%
Colombia Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Switzerland Colombia
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 14
Draws 10 7
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.97 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2007 Friendly International
Colombia vs Switzerland
3:1
Jun 26, 1994 World Championship
Switzerland vs Colombia
0:2
Feb 3, 1991 Friendly International
Colombia vs Switzerland
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Switzerland 38 / 100
Colombia 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Switzerland Colombia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Colombia or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Switzerland attacking → ← attacking Colombia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Switzerland scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Colombia let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Switzerland went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Colombia lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 49
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88