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SWQ Thunder vs Caboolture

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League 2025 Clive Berghofer Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Hall W.
21' Event
Croft T.
37' Event
Jones J.

AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League 2025 game between SWQ Thunder and Caboolture finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SWQ Thunder.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
SWQ Thunder
28%
Draws
50%
Caboolture
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Caboolture

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Caboolture carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Caboolture's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
SWQ Thunder Clean Sheet 17%
Caboolture Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SWQ Thunder Caboolture
Matches Played 35 38
Wins 8 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 23 18
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2025 Queensland Premier League
SWQ Thunder vs Caboolture
3:2
Apr 26, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs SWQ Thunder
6:1
Jul 14, 2024 Queensland Premier League
SWQ Thunder vs Caboolture
0:4
Apr 14, 2024 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs SWQ Thunder
2:1
Jun 24, 2023 Queensland Premier League
SWQ Thunder vs Caboolture
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SWQ Thunder Compare

Top Goalscorer Hall W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jones J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Caboolture Compare

Top Goalscorer Croft T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kadowaki S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SWQ Thunder 23 / 100
Caboolture 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SWQ Thunder Caboolture

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caboolture has conceded goals in 87% of their last 38 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

SWQ Thunder scored in 66% of their last 35 games.

SWQ Thunder has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Caboolture
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Magic United TFA FC22151666:2943
2Rochedale22134555:2643
3Broadbeach Utd.22127355:2943
4Brisbane Strikers22133652:2842
5Logan Lightning22104843:4234
6Redlands2296742:4733
7Caboolture22931047:4030
8Holland Park Hawks22831147:4627
9Ipswich2258924:2623
10Capalaba FC22531431:5918
11SWQ Thunder22531426:6318
12Southside Eagles22431521:7415