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SWQ Thunder vs Caboolture - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League 2025 Clive Berghofer Stadium, Toowoomba
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Hall W.
21' Event
Croft T.
37' Event
Jones J.

AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League 2025 game between SWQ Thunder and Caboolture finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SWQ Thunder.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
SWQ Thunder
30%
Draws
31%
Caboolture
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SWQ Thunder

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Caboolture carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Caboolture's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
SWQ Thunder Clean Sheet 13%
Caboolture Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SWQ Thunder Caboolture
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 12
Draws 3 4
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1.27 2.06
Goals Conceded 2.77 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2025 Queensland Premier League
SWQ Thunder vs Caboolture
3:2
Apr 26, 2025 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs SWQ Thunder
6:1
Jul 14, 2024 Queensland Premier League
SWQ Thunder vs Caboolture
0:4
Apr 14, 2024 Queensland Premier League
Caboolture vs SWQ Thunder
2:1
Jun 24, 2023 Queensland Premier League
SWQ Thunder vs Caboolture
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SWQ Thunder Compare

Top Goalscorer Hall W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jones J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Caboolture Compare

Top Goalscorer Croft T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kadowaki S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.53
Avg xA / game 0.93

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SWQ Thunder 11 / 100
Caboolture 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SWQ Thunder Caboolture

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caboolture Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caboolture has conceded goals in 94% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

SWQ Thunder scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

SWQ Thunder has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Caboolture
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

SWQ Thunder

(Home)
24 Aug
Holland Park Hawks
5 : 2
SWQ Thunder
16 Aug
SWQ Thunder
1 : 1
Southside Eagles
10 Aug
SWQ Thunder
2 : 2
Capalaba FC
05 Aug
Southside Eagles
3 : 0
SWQ Thunder
02 Aug
SWQ Thunder
3 : 2
Caboolture
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Caboolture

(Away)
15 Aug
North Star
2 : 1
Caboolture
09 Aug
Caboolture
7 : 2
Holland Park Hawks
01 Aug
Redlands
2 : 2
Caboolture
18 Jul
St. George Willawong
1 : 0
Caboolture
15 Jul
Caboolture
0 : 3
Brisbane Roar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Magic United TFA FC 22 15 1 6 66:29 43
2 Rochedale 22 13 4 5 55:26 43
3 Broadbeach Utd. 22 12 7 3 55:29 43
4 Brisbane Strikers 22 13 3 6 52:28 42
5 Logan Lightning 22 10 4 8 43:42 34
6 Redlands 22 9 6 7 42:47 33
7 Caboolture 22 9 3 10 47:40 30
8 Holland Park Hawks 22 8 3 11 47:46 27
9 Ipswich 22 5 8 9 24:26 23
10 Capalaba FC 22 5 3 14 31:59 18
11 SWQ Thunder 22 5 3 14 26:63 18
12 Southside Eagles 22 4 3 15 21:74 15
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