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Sydney FC U23 vs Manly Utd

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Rockdale Ilinden Sports Centre, Sydney
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AI Match Summary

The NPL NSW game between Sydney FC U23 and Manly Utd finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sydney FC U23
39%
Draws
30%
Manly Utd
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Sydney FC U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Sydney FC U23 Clean Sheet 17%
Manly Utd Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sydney FC U23 Manly Utd
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U23 vs Manly Utd
0:0
Apr 3, 2026 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs Sydney FC U23
1:1
Jun 15, 2025 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs Sydney FC U23
0:6
Feb 28, 2025 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U23 vs Manly Utd
0:0
May 31, 2024 NPL NSW
Manly Utd vs Sydney FC U23
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sydney FC U23 31 / 100
Manly Utd 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sydney FC U23 Manly Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sydney FC U23 scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Manly Utd has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Sydney FC U23 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sydney FC U23 VS Manly Utd
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sydney FC U23

(Home)
17 Jul
Sydney FC U23
0 : 0
Manly Utd
11 Jul
APIA Leichhardt
2 : 1
Sydney FC U23
04 Jul
UNSW
3 : 2
Sydney FC U23
30 Jun
SD Raiders
0 : 1
Sydney FC U23
26 Jun
Sydney FC U23
1 : 0
Sydney Utd
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Manly Utd

(Away)
17 Jul
Sydney FC U23
0 : 0
Manly Utd
11 Jul
Manly Utd
2 : 1
Sutherland Sharks
04 Jul
Manly Utd
1 : 0
SD Raiders
27 Jun
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
3 : 3
Manly Utd
20 Jun
Manly Utd
2 : 0
St George Saints
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Marconi Stallions24174345:1555
2APIA Leichhardt24173452:3054
3Sydney Utd24163535:1751
4Rockdale Ilinden24123942:3339
5Sutherland Sharks241131037:3136
6Sydney FC U2324105932:3435
7Wollongong24951028:3232
8UNSW24941135:3631
9NWS Spirit24941128:3031
10Manly Utd2487925:2931
11Western Sydney Wanderers U2124851145:3929
12SD Raiders24851133:4129
13Blacktown City24671133:3925
14St. George City24671122:4025
15St George Saints24611723:4519
16Sydney Olympic24541526:5019
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)