Sport Picks
Sydney FC U23 vs NWS Spirit
Australia
NPL NSW Rockdale Ilinden Sports Centre, Sydney 
Match Events
13'
13'
Glasson M.
AI Match Summary
Sydney FC U23 in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sydney FC U23.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: NWS Spirit
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- NWS Spirit have won more games recently than Sydney FC U23.
- Model gives NWS Spirit a 47% chance of winning this.
- Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Sydney FC U23 Clean Sheet 14%
NWS Spirit Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sydney FC U23 | NWS Spirit |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 5, 2026 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U23 vs NWS Spirit
1:0
Feb 21, 2026 NPL NSW
NWS Spirit vs Sydney FC U23
0:4
May 23, 2025 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U23 vs NWS Spirit
2:0
Feb 8, 2025 NPL NSW
NWS Spirit vs Sydney FC U23
3:2
May 24, 2024 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U23 vs NWS Spirit
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sydney FC U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Glasson M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
NWS Spirit Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sydney FC U23 11 / 100
NWS Spirit 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sydney FC U23 NWS Spirit
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NWS Spirit Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Sydney FC U23's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
NWS Spirit let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Sydney FC U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sydney FC U23 VS NWS Spirit
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Sydney FC U23
(Home) 30 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 1 Sydney FC U23
21 Aug
Sydney FC U23
2 : 1 Rockdale Ilinden
14 Aug
Sydney FC U23
0 : 2 St. George City
08 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 1 Sydney FC U23
02 Aug
Blacktown City
4 : 2 Sydney FC U23
Page 1 of 6
21 Aug
Sydney FC U23
2 : 1 Rockdale Ilinden
14 Aug
Sydney FC U23
0 : 2 St. George City
17 Jul
Sydney FC U23
0 : 0 Manly Utd
26 Jun
Sydney FC U23
1 : 0 Sydney Utd
05 Jun
Sydney FC U23
1 : 0 NWS Spirit
Page 1 of 3
NWS Spirit
(Away) 06 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 0 NWS Spirit
02 Sept
Marconi Stallions
1 : 3 NWS Spirit
30 Aug
Marconi Stallions
1 : 1 NWS Spirit
22 Aug
NWS Spirit
1 : 0 SD Raiders
15 Aug
Manly Utd
0 : 4 NWS Spirit
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
APIA Leichhardt
3 : 0 NWS Spirit
02 Sept
Marconi Stallions
1 : 3 NWS Spirit
30 Aug
Marconi Stallions
1 : 1 NWS Spirit
15 Aug
Manly Utd
0 : 4 NWS Spirit
02 Aug
Sydney Utd
2 : 0 NWS Spirit
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APIA Leichhardt | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 66:35 | 68 |
| 2 | Sydney Utd | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 47:20 | 64 |
| 3 | Marconi Stallions | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 50:22 | 62 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 46:38 | 46 |
| 5 | Manly Utd | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39:35 | 44 |
| 6 | NWS Spirit | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 37:38 | 41 |
| 7 | SD Raiders | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 44:49 | 41 |
| 8 | Sydney FC U23 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:43 | 41 |
| 9 | Rockdale Ilinden | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 46:44 | 40 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 55:49 | 38 |
| 11 | Wollongong | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 35:43 | 38 |
| 12 | St. George City | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 30:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Blacktown City | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 35 |
| 14 | UNSW | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 38:49 | 32 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 28:55 | 27 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:62 | 23 |
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)
