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Sydney FC vs Auckland FC

Australia Australia

A-League Sydney Football Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Gallegos L. F.
46'
Sub
Francois M. In: Rogerson L.
Out: Francois M.
53'
Sub
Brook L. In: May G.
Out: Brook L.

AI Match Summary

The A-League game between Sydney FC and Auckland FC finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sydney FC
44%
Draws
20%
Auckland FC
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Sydney FC haven't matched Auckland FC's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sydney FC Clean Sheet 20%
Auckland FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sydney FC Auckland FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 14
Draws 7 10
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 0.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 A-League
Auckland FC vs Sydney FC
1:0
Apr 26, 2026 A-League
Sydney FC vs Auckland FC
2:2
Feb 17, 2026 A-League
Sydney FC vs Auckland FC
1:1
Feb 7, 2026 A-League
Auckland FC vs Sydney FC
1:0
Aug 23, 2025 Australia Cup
Sydney FC vs Auckland FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sydney FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Popovic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Auckland FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sydney FC 36 / 100
Auckland FC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sydney FC Auckland FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sydney FC's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Auckland FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Sydney FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sydney FC VS Auckland FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Newcastle Jets26153855:3948
2Adelaide Utd26127746:3643
3Auckland FC26119642:2942
4Melbourne Victory26117844:3340
5Sydney FC26116933:2539
6Melbourne City26108833:3338
7Macarthur FC26971037:4434
8Wellington Phoenix26961136:4833
9Central Coast26881035:4232
10Perth Glory26871132:3931
11Brisbane Roar26681227:3626
12Western Sydney Wanderers26561527:4321