Sport Picks
Sydney FC vs Wellington Phoenix
Australia
A-League Sydney Football Stadium 
AI Match Summary
Sydney FC play Wellington Phoenix in the A-League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sydney FC averaged 1.23 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Wellington Phoenix averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Sydney FC won 1, Wellington Phoenix won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 1, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Sydney FC and 0.81 for Wellington Phoenix. This points to a Sydney FC double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Sydney FC picked up more points recently compared to Wellington Phoenix.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 0.81 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sydney FC | Wellington Phoenix |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sydney FC Compare
Wellington Phoenix Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sydney FC scored in 67% of their last 30 games.
Wellington Phoenix let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Sydney FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Wellington Phoenix lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 55:39 | 48 |
| 2 | Adelaide Utd | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 43 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 42:29 | 42 |
| 4 | Melbourne Victory | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 44:33 | 40 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 33:25 | 39 |
| 6 | Melbourne City | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 33:33 | 38 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | 34 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36:48 | 33 |
| 9 | Central Coast | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32:39 | 31 |
| 11 | Brisbane Roar | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 27:36 | 26 |
| 12 | Western Sydney Wanderers | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 27:43 | 21 |