Sport Picks
Sydney Olympic vs APIA Leichhardt
Australia
NPL NSW Belmore Sports Ground, Belmore, NSW 
Match Events
15'
15'
Konestabo M. S.
31'
31'
Konestabo M. S.
45'
45'
Kukucka S.
AI Match Summary
APIA Leichhardt in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored APIA Leichhardt.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: APIA Leichhardt
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Sydney Olympic haven't matched APIA Leichhardt's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans APIA Leichhardt's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors APIA Leichhardt here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Sydney Olympic Clean Sheet 10%
APIA Leichhardt Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sydney Olympic | APIA Leichhardt |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 24 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 19 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 2.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.25 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.25 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2026 NPL NSW
Sydney Olympic vs APIA Leichhardt
1:3
Apr 19, 2026 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs Sydney Olympic
4:1
Aug 31, 2025 NPL NSW
Sydney Olympic vs APIA Leichhardt
0:1
May 18, 2025 NPL NSW
APIA Leichhardt vs Sydney Olympic
2:0
Jul 17, 2024 NPL NSW
Sydney Olympic vs APIA Leichhardt
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sydney Olympic Compare
Top Goalscorer Kukucka S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
APIA Leichhardt Compare
Top Goalscorer Konestabo M. S.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sydney Olympic 10 / 100
APIA Leichhardt 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sydney Olympic APIA Leichhardt
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick API Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Sydney Olympic scored in 68% of their last 31 outings.
APIA Leichhardt has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Sydney Olympic remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sydney Olympic VS APIA Leichhardt
1 Goals Scored 2.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sydney Olympic
(Home) 02 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 3 APIA Leichhardt
30 Jul
Sydney Olympic
0 : 3 Brisbane Roar
24 Jul
Manly Utd
4 : 0 Sydney Olympic
18 Jul
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 1 Sydney Olympic
11 Jul
Sydney Olympic
3 : 2 Wollongong
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02 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 3 APIA Leichhardt
30 Jul
Sydney Olympic
0 : 3 Brisbane Roar
11 Jul
Sydney Olympic
3 : 2 Wollongong
20 Jun
Sydney Olympic
0 : 4 Rockdale Ilinden
10 Jun
Sydney Olympic
1 : 1 SD Raiders
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APIA Leichhardt
(Away) 02 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 3 APIA Leichhardt
25 Jul
APIA Leichhardt
4 : 1 UNSW
18 Jul
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
3 : 5 APIA Leichhardt
14 Jul
APIA Leichhardt
2 : 1 Peninsula
11 Jul
APIA Leichhardt
2 : 1 Sydney FC U23
Page 1 of 7
02 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 3 APIA Leichhardt
18 Jul
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
3 : 5 APIA Leichhardt
04 Jul
Sutherland Sharks
3 : 2 APIA Leichhardt
21 Jun
Blacktown City
1 : 3 APIA Leichhardt
13 Jun
Wollongong
0 : 2 APIA Leichhardt
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APIA Leichhardt | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 59:32 | 60 |
| 2 | Marconi Stallions | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 46:18 | 55 |
| 3 | Sydney Utd | 26 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 37:18 | 54 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 42:33 | 42 |
| 5 | Rockdale Ilinden | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 44:37 | 40 |
| 6 | Sydney FC U23 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34:38 | 36 |
| 7 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 51:40 | 35 |
| 8 | Manly Utd | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 30:30 | 35 |
| 9 | SD Raiders | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 38:44 | 35 |
| 10 | Wollongong | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 29:36 | 32 |
| 11 | Blacktown City | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 39:41 | 31 |
| 12 | UNSW | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 37:42 | 31 |
| 13 | NWS Spirit | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 28:36 | 31 |
| 14 | St. George City | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 24:40 | 31 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 26 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 25:48 | 20 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 27:57 | 19 |
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)
