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Sydney Olympic vs Brisbane Roar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

Australia Cup Belmore Sports Ground, Belmore, NSW
Sydney Olympic Logo

Sydney Olympic

0 - 3
FT
Brisbane Roar Logo

Brisbane Roar

Our Tip

Match Events

59'
Nasso J.
59'
Sub
Stajic M. In: Amanatidis N.
Out: Stajic M.
63' Event
Vidic J.
Assist: Ilic M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. The second leg ended 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sydney Olympic
15%
Draws
51%
Brisbane Roar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brisbane Roar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brisbane Roar come out ahead of Sydney Olympic on wins alone.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Sydney Olympic taking it.
  • Brisbane Roar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Brisbane Roar, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sydney Olympic Clean Sheet 10%
Brisbane Roar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sydney Olympic Brisbane Roar
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0.9 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2026 Australia Cup
Sydney Olympic vs Brisbane Roar
0:3
Dec 21, 2003 NSL
Sydney Olympic vs Brisbane Roar
1:1
Sep 27, 2003 NSL
Brisbane Roar vs Sydney Olympic
1:1
Jan 10, 2003 NSL
Brisbane Roar vs Sydney Olympic
3:0
Oct 12, 2002 NSL
Sydney Olympic vs Brisbane Roar
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sydney Olympic Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Brisbane Roar Compare

Top Goalscorer Vidic J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader James Ngor S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sydney Olympic 56 / 100
Brisbane Roar 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sydney Olympic Brisbane Roar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sydney Olympic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sydney Olympic scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Brisbane Roar let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Brisbane Roar lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sydney Olympic VS Brisbane Roar
1 Goals Scored 2.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sydney Olympic

(Home)
30 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 1
Sydney FC U23
23 Aug
Sydney Olympic
0 : 1
Marconi Stallions
15 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 2
Sydney Utd
08 Aug
UNSW
1 : 3
Sydney Olympic
02 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 3
APIA Leichhardt
Page 1 of 6

Brisbane Roar

(Away)
04 Sept
Olympic FC
3 : 4
Brisbane Roar
29 Aug
Persija Jakarta
4 : 0
Brisbane Roar
27 Aug
Dewa United
4 : 0
Brisbane Roar
09 Aug
Brisbane Roar
2 : 4
Sydney FC
30 Jul
Sydney Olympic
0 : 3
Brisbane Roar
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Sydney Olympic 0
Brisbane Roar 3
Bayswater 1
Sydney FC 5
Rochedale 1
SD Raiders 2
Azzurri United 0
Macarthur FC 3
APIA Leichhardt 2
Peninsula 1
Sydney Utd 2
Central Coast 1
Tigers FC 0
Western Sydney Wanderers 2
Kingborough Lions 0
Melbourne Victory 4
Marlin Coast 0
Brunswick Juventus 4
Preston Lions 3
Newcastle Jets 2
South Melbourne 2
Adelaide Utd 1
Maitland 1
Fremantle City 2
Weston Workers Bears 0
Melbourne City 3
Queensland Lions 2
Perth Glory 1
FK Beograd 2
North Sunshine Eagles 3
Cumberland United 0
Heidelberg Utd 3
1/8-finals
Brisbane Roar 2
Sydney FC 4
SD Raiders 2
Macarthur FC 1
APIA Leichhardt 2
Sydney Utd 1
Western Sydney Wanderers 1
Melbourne Victory 2
Brunswick Juventus 1
Preston Lions 4
South Melbourne 4
Fremantle City 3
Melbourne City 0
Queensland Lions 2
North Sunshine Eagles 1
Heidelberg Utd 0
Quarter-finals
Sydney FC 1
SD Raiders 0
APIA Leichhardt 0
Melbourne Victory 1
Preston Lions 1
South Melbourne 2
Queensland Lions 4
North Sunshine Eagles 0
Semi-finals
Sydney FC 0
Melbourne Victory 2
South Melbourne 3
Queensland Lions 1
Final
Melbourne Victory -
South Melbourne -