Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sydney Olympic vs UNSW

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Belmore Sports Ground, Belmore, NSW
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Fujita Y.
45'
Kumsuz T.
87' Event
Campbell L.

AI Match Summary

Sydney Olympic in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sydney Olympic.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Sydney Olympic
20%
Draws
16%
UNSW
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sydney Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UNSW lately — more wins on the board than Sydney Olympic.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Sydney Olympic taking it.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sydney Olympic Clean Sheet 11%
UNSW Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sydney Olympic UNSW
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 1.03 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NPL NSW
UNSW vs Sydney Olympic
1:3
Apr 25, 2026 NPL NSW
Sydney Olympic vs UNSW
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sydney Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Fujita Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Louca G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

UNSW Compare

Top Goalscorer Campbell L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sydney Olympic 65 / 100
UNSW 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sydney Olympic UNSW

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sydney Olympic Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Sydney Olympic scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

UNSW let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: UNSW registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sydney Olympic VS UNSW
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sydney Olympic

(Home)
30 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 1
Sydney FC U23
23 Aug
Sydney Olympic
0 : 1
Marconi Stallions
15 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 2
Sydney Utd
08 Aug
UNSW
1 : 3
Sydney Olympic
02 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 3
APIA Leichhardt
Page 1 of 6

UNSW

(Away)
30 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
2 : 0
UNSW
22 Aug
UNSW
0 : 2
Manly Utd
16 Aug
Blacktown City
0 : 0
UNSW
08 Aug
UNSW
1 : 3
Sydney Olympic
01 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers U21
2 : 1
UNSW
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APIA Leichhardt 30 21 5 4 66:35 68
2 Sydney Utd 30 20 4 6 47:20 64
3 Marconi Stallions 30 19 5 6 50:22 62
4 Sutherland Sharks 30 14 4 12 46:38 46
5 Manly Utd 30 12 8 10 39:35 44
6 NWS Spirit 30 12 5 13 37:38 41
7 SD Raiders 30 12 5 13 44:49 41
8 Sydney FC U23 30 11 8 11 38:43 41
9 Rockdale Ilinden 30 12 4 14 46:44 40
10 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 30 11 5 14 55:49 38
11 Wollongong 30 11 5 14 35:43 38
12 St. George City 30 10 7 13 30:46 37
13 Blacktown City 30 9 8 13 43:46 35
14 UNSW 30 9 5 16 38:49 32
15 St George Saints 30 8 3 19 28:55 27
16 Sydney Olympic 30 6 5 19 32:62 23
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)