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Szekszardi vs Gardony Varosi

Hungary Hungary

NB III - Southwest 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Szekszardi play Gardony Varosi in the NB III - Southwest 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Szekszardi averaged 1.47 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Gardony Varosi averaged 1.1 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. In past meetings, Szekszardi won 3, Gardony Varosi won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 27, 2025 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Szekszardi and 1.69 for Gardony Varosi. This points to a Szekszardi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Szekszardi
15%
Draws
30%
Gardony Varosi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Szekszardi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Szekszardi picked up more points recently compared to Gardony Varosi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Szekszardi Clean Sheet 13%
Gardony Varosi Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Szekszardi Gardony Varosi
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 4 5
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 1.47 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.37

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 NB III - Southwest
Gardony Varosi vs Szekszardi
3:0
Oct 13, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Szekszardi vs Gardony Varosi
2:0
Apr 28, 2024 NB III - Southwest
Szekszardi vs Gardony Varosi
1:0
Oct 15, 2023 NB III - Southwest
Gardony Varosi vs Szekszardi
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Szekszardi Compare

Top Goalscorer Arena A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Gardony Varosi Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Szekszardi 52 / 100
Gardony Varosi 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Szekszardi Gardony Varosi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Szekszardi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Szekszardi & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Szekszardi attacking → ← attacking Gardony Varosi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Szekszardi scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Gardony Varosi let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Szekszardi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Gardony Varosi lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 20
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nagykanizsa FC30235273:2474
2Ivancsa30215494:2668
3Ferencvaros II301712167:3163
4Kaposvar30188478:3362
5Pecsi MFC30186666:2960
6Siofok301510556:3255
7Paks II301261251:4642
8Majosi301171240:4540
9MTK Budapest II301151458:5738
10Dunaharaszti MTK301081247:4538
11Bonyhad301051538:5535
12Szekszardi30671730:5425
13PTE-PEAC30632127:7021
14Fonix Gold30632136:9021
15Gardony Varosi30561934:7121
16Dunafoldvar30142522:1097