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Tabasalu vs Laanemaa Haapsalu

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2025 Tabasalu Arena, Tabasalu
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Altmets K.
29'
Valkiainen M.
35' Event
Vilisoo E.

AI Match Summary

Tabasalu in this Esiliiga B 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tabasalu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Tabasalu
15%
Draws
0%
Laanemaa Haapsalu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tabasalu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tabasalu lately — more wins on the board than Laanemaa Haapsalu.
  • Model gives Tabasalu a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • Tabasalu have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Tabasalu Clean Sheet 14%
Laanemaa Haapsalu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tabasalu Laanemaa Haapsalu
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 13 3
Draws 4 1
Losses 16 26
Goals Scored 1.79 0.9
Goals Conceded 2.3 4.2
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2025 Esiliiga B
Laanemaa Haapsalu vs Tabasalu
2:4
Jul 21, 2025 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Laanemaa Haapsalu
4:0
Jun 14, 2025 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Laanemaa Haapsalu
1:1
Apr 26, 2025 Esiliiga B
Laanemaa Haapsalu vs Tabasalu
1:2
Oct 1, 2022 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Laanemaa Haapsalu
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tabasalu Compare

Top Goalscorer Altmets K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vilisoo E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Laanemaa Haapsalu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tabasalu 84 / 100
Laanemaa Haapsalu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tabasalu Laanemaa Haapsalu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tabasalu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Laanemaa Haapsalu conceded in 100% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Laanemaa Haapsalu registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tabasalu scored in 76% of their last 33 games.

Scoring Trends

Tabasalu VS Laanemaa Haapsalu
2.75 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 6
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Tabasalu

(Home)
19 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2
Tabasalu
14 Sept
Tabasalu
1 : 1
Legion
11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1
Tabasalu
05 Sept
Tabasalu
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu U21
29 Aug
Narva U21
4 : 0
Tabasalu
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Laanemaa Haapsalu

(Away)
22 Jul
Laanemaa Haapsalu
0 : 6
Elva
09 Nov
Legion
5 : 4
Laanemaa Haapsalu
01 Nov
Laanemaa Haapsalu
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond U21
26 Oct
Tartu Kalev
10 : 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu
23 Oct
Narva U21
5 : 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 28 5 3 116:39 89
2 Nomme Utd U21 36 23 3 10 93:53 72
3 Johvi Phoenix 36 21 5 10 95:61 68
4 Narva U21 36 21 3 12 87:53 66
5 Tartu Kalev 36 19 4 13 81:53 61
6 Tabasalu 36 13 8 15 60:67 47
7 Legion 36 13 5 18 66:94 44
8 Paide Linnameeskond U21 36 11 8 17 65:71 41
9 Kuressaare U21 36 6 1 29 40:105 19
10 Laanemaa Haapsalu 36 3 2 31 33:140 11
Promotion - Esiliiga (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2025 (Relegation)