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Tabasalu vs Legion

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Altmets K.
47' Event
Panov V.
52' Event
Riigov R.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B game between Tabasalu and Legion finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Legion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tabasalu
6%
Draws
4%
Legion
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tabasalu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tabasalu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Tabasalu a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 95%).
  • Legion have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 95%
Over 3.5 Goals 88%
Over 4.5 Goals 40%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Tabasalu Clean Sheet 14%
Legion Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tabasalu Legion
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 2 1
Losses 14 24
Goals Scored 2.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.38 5.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 5.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Tabasalu
2:0
May 27, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Legion
2:3
Apr 24, 2026 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Tabasalu
3:2
Oct 18, 2025 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Tabasalu
0:3
Jul 11, 2025 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Legion
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tabasalu Compare

Top Goalscorer Altmets K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Riigov R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Legion Compare

Top Goalscorer Panov V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vassiljev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tabasalu 84 / 100
Legion 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tabasalu Legion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAB Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tabasalu scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Legion conceded in 97% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Difficult form: Legion registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tabasalu VS Legion
2.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 5.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tammeka Tartu U2119122554:3738
2Tulevik19111755:3934
3Johvi Phoenix19111749:4734
4Narva U2118102644:2832
5Parnu JK Vaprus U2119102756:4232
6Levadia U1919102748:3432
7Tabasalu19901033:5027
8Tartu Kalev19811049:4225
9Tallinna Kalev U2119421338:4614
10Legion18211516:777