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Tabasalu vs Legion

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Altmets K.
47' Event
Panov V.
52' Event
Riigov R.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B game between Tabasalu and Legion finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Legion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Tabasalu
30%
Draws
12%
Legion
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tabasalu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Tabasalu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Tabasalu a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Legion have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Tabasalu Clean Sheet 10%
Legion Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tabasalu Legion
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 3
Draws 2 2
Losses 17 23
Goals Scored 1.7 0.89
Goals Conceded 2.57 3.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Tabasalu
2:0
May 27, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Legion
2:3
Apr 24, 2026 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Tabasalu
3:2
Oct 18, 2025 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Tabasalu
0:3
Jul 11, 2025 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Legion
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tabasalu Compare

Top Goalscorer Altmets K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Riigov R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Legion Compare

Top Goalscorer Panov V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vassiljev A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tabasalu 34 / 100
Legion 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tabasalu Legion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legion let in goals in 96% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Tabasalu scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Tabasalu has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tabasalu VS Legion
0.5 Goals Scored 1
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tabasalu

(Home)
05 Sept
Tabasalu
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu U21
29 Aug
Narva U21
4 : 0
Tabasalu
24 Aug
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
6 : 0
Tabasalu
20 Aug
Tabasalu
2 : 2
Johvi Phoenix
16 Aug
Tabasalu
1 : 1
Tallinna Kalev U21
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Legion

(Away)
05 Sept
Tulevik
3 : 0
Legion
30 Aug
Legion
1 : 5
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
24 Aug
Levadia U19
1 : 0
Legion
21 Aug
Tallinna Kalev U21
3 : 3
Legion
15 Aug
Legion
0 : 3
Tammeka Tartu U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia U19 27 17 2 8 71:46 53
2 Narva U21 26 16 3 7 65:34 51
3 Tammeka Tartu U21 27 14 4 9 71:56 46
4 Johvi Phoenix 27 14 3 10 61:61 45
5 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 27 13 4 10 81:55 43
6 Tartu Kalev 27 13 2 12 65:51 41
7 Tulevik 27 12 5 10 67:54 41
8 Tabasalu 27 10 2 15 40:73 32
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 27 6 5 16 52:70 23
10 Legion 26 3 2 21 23:96 11
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)