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Tabasalu vs Narva U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tabasalu host Narva U21 in the Esiliiga B. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Tabasalu have averaged 1.72 scored and 2.38 conceded recently, against Narva U21's 2.45 scored and 1.14 conceded. Head-to-head, Tabasalu have won 2 to Narva U21's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2026, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 2.25, favoring Narva U21. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Tabasalu
15%
Draws
67%
Narva U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Narva U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Tabasalu haven't matched Narva U21's recent run of results.
  • 67% — that's where the model lands on Narva U21 taking it.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Tabasalu Clean Sheet 10%
Narva U21 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tabasalu Narva U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 20
Draws 3 3
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 1.72 2.45
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Tabasalu
4:0
May 31, 2026 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Tabasalu
5:0
May 6, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Narva U21
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Esiliiga B
Narva U21 vs Tabasalu
2:1
Aug 1, 2025 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Narva U21
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tabasalu 18 / 100
Narva U21 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tabasalu Narva U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Narva U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tabasalu found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Narva U21 conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Solid form: Tabasalu remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tabasalu VS Narva U21
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tabasalu

(Home)
19 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2
Tabasalu
14 Sept
Tabasalu
1 : 1
Legion
11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1
Tabasalu
05 Sept
Tabasalu
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu U21
29 Aug
Narva U21
4 : 0
Tabasalu
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Narva U21

(Away)
26 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Narva U21
19 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 2
Narva U21
15 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Tammeka Tartu U21
11 Sept
Narva U21
1 : 0
Levadia U19
06 Sept
Tartu Kalev
0 : 1
Narva U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 30 20 3 7 71:36 63
2 Levadia U19 31 19 2 10 78:52 59
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
5 Tulevik 31 14 5 12 81:64 47
6 Tartu Kalev 30 15 2 13 72:58 47
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 31 8 5 18 63:78 29
10 Legion 31 3 3 25 26:116 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)