Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tabasalu vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Kolvart S.
(Penalty)
10' Event
Kutsar K.
(Penalty)
22' Event
Kutsar K.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B game between Tabasalu and Parnu JK Vaprus U21 finished 2-8, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Parnu JK Vaprus U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tabasalu
30%
Draws
34%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tabasalu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tabasalu come out ahead of Parnu JK Vaprus U21 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tabasalu's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 96%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 96%
Over 3.5 Goals 94%
Over 4.5 Goals 42%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Tabasalu Clean Sheet 10%
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tabasalu Parnu JK Vaprus U21
Matches Played 29 23
Wins 12 10
Draws 2 3
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 2.75 3.25
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2:8
Apr 11, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Parnu JK Vaprus U21
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tabasalu Compare

Top Goalscorer Dobosev-Proosvali A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Riigov R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Parnu JK Vaprus U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kutsar K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kolvart S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tabasalu 34 / 100
Parnu JK Vaprus U21 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tabasalu Parnu JK Vaprus U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Parnu JK Vaprus U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 96% of 23 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.50 goals when they meet.

Tabasalu found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Tabasalu stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tabasalu VS Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2.75 Goals Scored 3.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Tabasalu

(Home)
18 Jul
Legion
2 : 0
Tabasalu
11 Jul
Tabasalu
2 : 0
Tulevik
05 Jul
Tabasalu
2 : 8
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
02 Jul
Tallinna Wolves
0 : 10
Tabasalu
21 Jun
Tabasalu
3 : 1
Tartu Kalev
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Parnu JK Vaprus U21

(Away)
19 Jul
Narva U21
4 : 1
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
12 Jul
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
05 Jul
Tabasalu
2 : 8
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
22 Jun
Legion
1 : 4
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
19 Jun
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
2 : 2
Tallinna Kalev U21
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tammeka Tartu U2120132559:4141
2Narva U2119112648:2935
3Tulevik19111755:3934
4Johvi Phoenix19111749:4734
5Parnu JK Vaprus U2120102857:4632
6Levadia U1920102848:3932
7Tartu Kalev20911054:4228
8Tabasalu20901133:5227
9Tallinna Kalev U2120421442:5114
10Legion19311518:7710
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)