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Tabasalu vs Tartu Kalev - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
09:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tabasalu host Tartu Kalev in the Esiliiga B. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Tabasalu at 1.71 goals for, 2.46 against; Tartu Kalev at 2.54 for, 2.25 against. Head-to-head, Tabasalu have won 1 to Tartu Kalev's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.44 - 2.13) back Tartu Kalev to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Tabasalu
15%
Draws
51%
Tartu Kalev
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tartu Kalev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tartu Kalev lately — more wins on the board than Tabasalu.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Tabasalu Clean Sheet 10%
Tartu Kalev Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tabasalu Tartu Kalev
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 3 2
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.71 2.54
Goals Conceded 2.46 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Tabasalu
3:1
Jun 21, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Tartu Kalev
3:1
Mar 21, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Tabasalu
4:0
Oct 23, 2025 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Tartu Kalev
3:9
Aug 9, 2025 Esiliiga B
Tartu Kalev vs Tabasalu
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tabasalu 30 / 100
Tartu Kalev 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tabasalu Tartu Kalev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.20 goals per match.

Tabasalu's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Tartu Kalev conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Tartu Kalev's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tabasalu VS Tartu Kalev
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tabasalu

(Home)
19 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2
Tabasalu
14 Sept
Tabasalu
1 : 1
Legion
11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1
Tabasalu
05 Sept
Tabasalu
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu U21
29 Aug
Narva U21
4 : 0
Tabasalu
Page 1 of 6

Tartu Kalev

(Away)
26 Sept
Tulevik
6 : 1
Tartu Kalev
13 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
0 : 4
Tartu Kalev
10 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Tartu Kalev
06 Sept
Tartu Kalev
0 : 1
Narva U21
29 Aug
Tartu Kalev
0 : 3
Johvi Phoenix
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 30 20 3 7 71:36 63
2 Levadia U19 31 19 2 10 78:52 59
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
5 Tulevik 31 14 5 12 81:64 47
6 Tartu Kalev 30 15 2 13 72:58 47
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 31 8 5 18 63:78 29
10 Legion 31 3 3 25 26:116 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)