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Tabasalu W vs FC Ararat W

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Women 2025 Tabasalu Arena, Tabasalu
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Sub
Salei A. In: Elling M.
Out: Salei A.
63'
Sub
Parnik G. In: Ivanova A.
Out: Parnik G.
65'
Sakhinova M.

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga Women 2025 game between Tabasalu W and FC Ararat W finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FC Ararat W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Tabasalu W
22%
Draws
60%
FC Ararat W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: FC Ararat W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Tabasalu W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans FC Ararat W's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Meistriliiga Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Tabasalu W Clean Sheet 15%
FC Ararat W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tabasalu W FC Ararat W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 8
Draws 2 4
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.88 0
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.5
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Tabasalu W vs FC Ararat W
0:0
Jun 7, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
Tabasalu W vs FC Ararat W
0:1
Apr 26, 2025 Meistriliiga Women
FC Ararat W vs Tabasalu W
2:3
Sep 28, 2024 Meistriliiga Women
Tabasalu W vs FC Ararat W
3:2
Aug 17, 2024 Meistriliiga Women
Tabasalu W vs FC Ararat W
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tabasalu W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

FC Ararat W Compare

Top Goalscorer Juzaninova A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tabasalu W 19 / 100
FC Ararat W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tabasalu W FC Ararat W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tabasalu W's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

FC Ararat W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

FC Ararat W let in goals in 74% of their last 23 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tabasalu W VS FC Ararat W
1.88 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 13%
88% Over 2.5 13%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Tabasalu W

(Home)
15 Nov
Tabasalu W
1 : 5
Elva W
08 Nov
Tallinna Kalev W
1 : 2
Tabasalu W
05 Nov
Tabasalu W
3 : 4
Saku Sporting W
18 Oct
Tabasalu W
4 : 1
Tammeka Tartu W
15 Oct
Viimsi JK W
2 : 1
Tabasalu W
Page 1 of 7

FC Ararat W

(Away)
04 Oct
Tabasalu W
:
FC Ararat W
20 Sept
FC Ararat W
:
Tammeka Tartu W
17 Sept
Elva W
:
FC Ararat W
13 Sept
Saku Sporting W
:
FC Ararat W
10 Sept
Flora W
:
FC Ararat W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Flora W272511126:1176
2Saku Sporting W27182784:4756
3Viimsi JK W27155760:3250
4Tabasalu W271421151:5544
5Tallinna Kalev W27931558:7730
6Tammeka Tartu W27451832:9517
7Elva W27422128:9614
8FC Ararat W21521422:4817
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)