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Tacna Heroica vs U. San Martin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Jorge Basadre, Tacna
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
08:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tacna Heroica host U. San Martin in the Liga 2. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Tacna Heroica at 1.34 goals for, 1.28 against; U. San Martin at 1.52 for, 1.52 against. Head-to-head, Tacna Heroica have won 1 to U. San Martin's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 14, 2025, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.50, favoring Tacna Heroica. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Tacna Heroica
35%
Draws
35%
U. San Martin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • U. San Martin have won more games recently than Tacna Heroica.
  • 30% — that's where the model lands on Tacna Heroica taking it.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tacna Heroica Clean Sheet 16%
U. San Martin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tacna Heroica U. San Martin
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 11 5
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.34 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Liga 2
Tacna Heroica vs U. San Martin
2:0
Apr 27, 2025 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs Tacna Heroica
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tacna Heroica 75 / 100
U. San Martin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tacna Heroica U. San Martin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tacna Heroica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tacna Heroica scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

U. San Martin let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Tacna Heroica remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tacna Heroica VS U. San Martin
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tacna Heroica

(Home)
08 Oct
Tacna Heroica
0 : 0
Carlos Mannucci
27 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
2 : 2
Tacna Heroica
12 Sept
Estudiantil CNI
1 : 1
Tacna Heroica
30 Aug
Tacna Heroica
3 : 1
Santos FC
24 Aug
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 0
Tacna Heroica
Page 1 of 6

U. San Martin

(Away)
06 Oct
U. San Martin
2 : 1
Alianza Huanuco
26 Sept
Carlos Mannucci
7 : 0
U. San Martin
13 Sept
U. San Martin
2 : 2
AD Cantolao
06 Sept
Union Comercio
1 : 0
U. San Martin
29 Aug
U. San Martin
2 : 0
Cesar Vallejo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 2 1 0 1 3:4 5
2 Union Minas 2 1 0 1 4:2 4
3 Pirata 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
4 Ayacucho 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llacuabamba 2 1 1 0 4:0 5
2 ADA Jaen 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
3 Sport Huancayo 2 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Comerciantes FC 2 0 0 2 0:5 2
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carlos Mannucci 2 1 1 0 7:0 6
2 Tacna Heroica 2 0 2 0 2:2 3
3 U. San Martin 2 1 0 1 2:8 3
4 Alianza Huanuco 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams