Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo 2 Prediction & H2H Stats

USA USA

MLS Next Pro Starfire Sports, Tukwila, WA
Tacoma Defiance Logo

Tacoma Defiance

2 - 1
FT
Houston Dynamo 2 Logo

Houston Dynamo 2

Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Gnaulati X.
23' Event
Silva V.
Assist: Mwakutuya I.
47' Event
Bronnik M.
Assist: Gaffney C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between Tacoma Defiance and Houston Dynamo 2 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tacoma Defiance.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Tacoma Defiance
15%
Draws
21%
Houston Dynamo 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tacoma Defiance

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Houston Dynamo 2 come out ahead of Tacoma Defiance on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Tacoma Defiance's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tacoma Defiance have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Tacoma Defiance Clean Sheet 12%
Houston Dynamo 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tacoma Defiance Houston Dynamo 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 18
Draws 0 0
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.63 2
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo 2
2:1
Mar 8, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Houston Dynamo 2 vs Tacoma Defiance
4:0
Oct 5, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo 2
5:1
Sep 18, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Houston Dynamo 2 vs Tacoma Defiance
1:2
Sep 30, 2024 MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo 2
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tacoma Defiance Compare

Top Goalscorer Bronnik M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carli E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Houston Dynamo 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tacoma Defiance 47 / 100
Houston Dynamo 2 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tacoma Defiance Houston Dynamo 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tacoma Defiance Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Tacoma Defiance scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Houston Dynamo 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Tacoma Defiance went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tacoma Defiance VS Houston Dynamo 2
2 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tacoma Defiance

(Home)
20 Sept
Tacoma Defiance
2 : 1
Portland Timbers 2
14 Sept
Ventura County
3 : 0
Tacoma Defiance
06 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 2
Tacoma Defiance
31 Aug
Real Monarchs
3 : 0
Tacoma Defiance
25 Aug
Tacoma Defiance
4 : 0
Sporting Kansas City II
Page 1 of 6

Houston Dynamo 2

(Away)
20 Sept
Houston Dynamo 2
2 : 3
Sporting Kansas City II
14 Sept
North Texas
1 : 0
Houston Dynamo 2
10 Sept
North Texas
2 : 3
Houston Dynamo 2
04 Sept
Houston Dynamo 2
0 : 2
Austin FC II
30 Aug
Houston Dynamo 2
0 : 2
Minnesota United 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)