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Tacoma Defiance vs Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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MLS Next Pro Starfire Sports, Tukwila, WA
Tacoma Defiance Logo

Tacoma Defiance

4 - 2
FT
Vancouver Whitecaps 2 Logo

Vancouver Whitecaps 2

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Bronnik M.
Assist: Gaffney C.
6' Event
Ittycheria D.
Assist: Zuluaga Y.
23'
Tsuji Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tacoma Defiance in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tacoma Defiance.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Tacoma Defiance
15%
Draws
42%
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tacoma Defiance

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Vancouver Whitecaps 2 haven't matched Tacoma Defiance's recent run of results.
  • 43% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Tacoma Defiance Clean Sheet 10%
Vancouver Whitecaps 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tacoma Defiance Vancouver Whitecaps 2
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 0 0
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.66 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.62 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance vs Vancouver Whitecaps 2
4:2
May 17, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Vancouver Whitecaps 2 vs Tacoma Defiance
0:2
Apr 12, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Vancouver Whitecaps 2 vs Tacoma Defiance
2:1
Sep 5, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Tacoma Defiance vs Vancouver Whitecaps 2
1:3
May 15, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Vancouver Whitecaps 2 vs Tacoma Defiance
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tacoma Defiance Compare

Top Goalscorer Bronnik M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jauregui R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Vancouver Whitecaps 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ittycheria D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rassak C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tacoma Defiance 29 / 100
Vancouver Whitecaps 2 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tacoma Defiance Vancouver Whitecaps 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tacoma Defiance Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vancouver Whitecaps 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Tacoma Defiance scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Tacoma Defiance stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tacoma Defiance VS Vancouver Whitecaps 2
2.38 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Tacoma Defiance

(Home)
20 Sept
Tacoma Defiance
2 : 1
Portland Timbers 2
14 Sept
Ventura County
3 : 0
Tacoma Defiance
06 Sept
San Jose Earthquakes II
1 : 2
Tacoma Defiance
31 Aug
Real Monarchs
3 : 0
Tacoma Defiance
25 Aug
Tacoma Defiance
4 : 0
Sporting Kansas City II
Page 1 of 6

Vancouver Whitecaps 2

(Away)
20 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
0 : 2
San Jose Earthquakes II
13 Sept
Minnesota United 2
5 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
07 Sept
Portland Timbers 2
0 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
30 Aug
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
5 : 1
Sporting Kansas City II
27 Aug
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
4 : 1
Los Angeles FC 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS Next Pro (Play-in)