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Tacuarembo vs Albion

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tacuarembo play Albion in the Segunda Division 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tacuarembo averaged 1.06 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. Albion averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Tacuarembo won 3, Albion won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Oct 19, 2025 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Tacuarembo and 1.44 for Albion. This points to a Albion double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Tacuarembo
29%
Draws
37%
Albion
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Albion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Tacuarembo picked up more points recently compared to Albion.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Tacuarembo Clean Sheet 16%
Albion Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tacuarembo Albion
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 13 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.06 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.19 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Albion
2:0
Jul 27, 2025 Segunda Division
Albion vs Tacuarembo
1:0
Oct 20, 2024 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Albion
1:0
Jul 11, 2024 Segunda Division
Albion vs Tacuarembo
1:2
Apr 22, 2024 Segunda Division
Albion vs Tacuarembo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tacuarembo Compare

Top Goalscorer Fagundez P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferreira M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Albion Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tacuarembo 34 / 100
Albion 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tacuarembo Albion

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Albion or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tacuarembo attacking → ← attacking Albion

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tacuarembo scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Albion let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Tacuarembo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Albion lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 43
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Albion26155633:1750
2Colon26138532:1747
3Central Esp.261210429:1646
4Atenas26135835:2344
5Maldonado26117831:2140
6Club Oriental De Futbol26108832:2938
7Tacuarembo26910728:2537
8Fenix26107931:3037
9Rentistas261061033:3336
10La Luz26512926:3627
11Rampla Juniors25751322:2826
12Cerrito26581320:3623
13Club Atletico Artigas254101128:4122
14Uruguay Montevideo FC26451716:4417