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Tacuarembo vs Cerrito

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Tacuarembo and Cerrito finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tacuarembo
20%
Draws
40%
Cerrito
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Cerrito carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Tacuarembo Clean Sheet 20%
Cerrito Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tacuarembo Cerrito
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 9
Draws 10 10
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.86 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Cerrito
0:0
Mar 29, 2026 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Cerrito
1:1
Aug 24, 2025 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Tacuarembo
1:1
Jun 3, 2025 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Cerrito
2:0
Nov 16, 2024 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Tacuarembo
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tacuarembo 32 / 100
Cerrito 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tacuarembo Cerrito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tacuarembo's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Cerrito's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Cerrito lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tacuarembo VS Cerrito
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tacuarembo

(Home)
12 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
2 : 2
Tacuarembo
06 Sept
Tacuarembo
0 : 1
Club Oriental De Futbol
29 Aug
Colon
1 : 0
Tacuarembo
22 Aug
Tacuarembo
0 : 2
Fenix
16 Aug
Rentistas
0 : 1
Tacuarembo
Page 1 of 6

Cerrito

(Away)
13 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Cerrito
10 Sept
CA Cerro
0 : 2
Cerrito
05 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 2
Paysandu FC
02 Sept
Cerrito
0 : 2
Maldonado
29 Aug
Huracan FC
2 : 1
Cerrito
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 18 10 3 5 28:18 33
2 Plaza Colonia 18 9 3 6 24:17 30
3 Colon 18 8 4 6 19:19 28
4 Rentistas 18 7 6 5 21:19 27
5 River Plate Montevideo 18 7 5 6 25:22 26
6 Club Oriental De Futbol 18 6 7 5 24:20 25
7 Fenix 18 6 7 5 22:20 25
8 Cerrito 18 6 7 5 22:20 25
9 Paysandu FC 18 7 2 9 23:24 23
10 Huracan FC 18 6 4 8 18:24 22
11 Tacuarembo 18 6 4 8 13:19 22
12 La Luz 18 5 6 7 14:20 21
13 Miramar 18 4 7 7 20:24 19
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 18 4 5 9 18:25 17
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)