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Tacuarembo vs Cerrito

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Tacuarembo and Cerrito finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Tacuarembo
39%
Draws
31%
Cerrito
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Cerrito's 1.75 goals per match outpaces what Tacuarembo have produced (1.13).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Tacuarembo Clean Sheet 68%
Cerrito Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tacuarembo Cerrito
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 13 12
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.13 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Cerrito
0:0
Mar 29, 2026 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Cerrito
1:1
Aug 24, 2025 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Tacuarembo
1:1
Jun 3, 2025 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Cerrito
2:0
Nov 16, 2024 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Tacuarembo
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tacuarembo 41 / 100
Cerrito 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tacuarembo Cerrito

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tacuarembo's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Cerrito's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Tacuarembo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tacuarembo VS Cerrito
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atenas961217:819
2River Plate Montevideo1052317:1617
3Cerrito943214:1315
4Colon1043310:915
5Tacuarembo94238:814
6Fenix934214:1113
7Miramar934214:1113
8Plaza Colonia1041510:1113
9Huracan FC103348:1212
10Club Oriental De Futbol925214:1211
11Rentistas93248:1211
12La Luz92436:810
13Paysandu FC921611:157
14Uruguay Montevideo FC92169:147