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Tacuarembo vs Plaza Colonia

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division
Sun, Jul 19, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tacuarembo host Plaza Colonia in the Segunda Division. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Tacuarembo at 1 goals for, 1 against; Plaza Colonia at 1 for, 0.88 against. Past meetings favor Plaza Colonia slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 17, 2024, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.94 - 1.00) back Plaza Colonia to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tacuarembo
44%
Draws
20%
Plaza Colonia
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Plaza Colonia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Plaza Colonia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Tacuarembo Clean Sheet 20%
Plaza Colonia Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tacuarembo Plaza Colonia
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 13 5
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2024 Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia vs Tacuarembo
1:0
May 19, 2024 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Plaza Colonia
0:1
Aug 5, 2018 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Plaza Colonia
0:1
Mar 10, 2018 Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia vs Tacuarembo
2:0
May 17, 2014 Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia vs Tacuarembo
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tacuarembo 36 / 100
Plaza Colonia 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tacuarembo Plaza Colonia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PLA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tacuarembo scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Plaza Colonia let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Plaza Colonia has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tacuarembo VS Plaza Colonia
1 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atenas1061318:1119
2Cerrito1053215:1318
3River Plate Montevideo1052317:1617
4Colon1043310:915
5Rentistas1042411:1314
6Tacuarembo104248:1014
7Fenix1034314:1213
8Miramar1034314:1213
9La Luz103438:813
10Plaza Colonia1041510:1113
11Club Oriental De Futbol1026215:1312
12Huracan FC103348:1212
13Paysandu FC1031612:1510
14Uruguay Montevideo FC1022610:158