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Tacuarembo vs Plaza Colonia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Adorno P.
51' Event
Gonzalez N.
90'
Coitto A.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Tacuarembo and Plaza Colonia finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Plaza Colonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Tacuarembo
35%
Draws
41%
Plaza Colonia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Plaza Colonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Plaza Colonia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tacuarembo are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Plaza Colonia here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Tacuarembo Clean Sheet 68%
Plaza Colonia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tacuarembo Plaza Colonia
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 12
Draws 10 7
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.83 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.24 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Plaza Colonia
0:2
Aug 17, 2024 Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia vs Tacuarembo
1:0
May 19, 2024 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Plaza Colonia
0:1
Aug 5, 2018 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Plaza Colonia
0:1
Mar 10, 2018 Segunda Division
Plaza Colonia vs Tacuarembo
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tacuarembo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Plaza Colonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Adorno P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tacuarembo 51 / 100
Plaza Colonia 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tacuarembo Plaza Colonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tacuarembo scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Plaza Colonia let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Tacuarembo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Tacuarembo VS Plaza Colonia
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tacuarembo

(Home)
10 Oct
Cerrito
2 : 1
Tacuarembo
03 Oct
Tacuarembo
0 : 1
Atenas
28 Sept
Paysandu FC
2 : 2
Tacuarembo
20 Sept
Tacuarembo
1 : 1
Huracan FC
12 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
2 : 2
Tacuarembo
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Plaza Colonia

(Away)
07 Oct
Plaza Colonia
0 : 1
Juventud
04 Oct
Plaza Colonia
1 : 3
Cerrito
30 Sept
Defensor Sp.
0 : 1
Plaza Colonia
27 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Plaza Colonia
19 Sept
Plaza Colonia
1 : 1
Paysandu FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 21 12 4 5 30:18 40
2 River Plate Montevideo 22 9 6 7 34:27 33
3 Rentistas 22 9 6 7 27:25 33
4 Colon 22 9 6 7 23:24 33
5 Club Oriental De Futbol 22 8 8 6 30:25 32
6 Plaza Colonia 21 9 5 7 26:21 32
7 Cerrito 22 8 8 6 29:25 32
8 Fenix 21 7 8 6 27:24 29
9 Paysandu FC 22 8 4 10 28:29 28
10 La Luz 21 7 6 8 19:24 27
11 Huracan FC 21 7 5 9 22:28 26
12 Miramar 21 6 7 8 23:26 25
13 Tacuarembo 22 6 6 10 17:25 24
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 22 4 5 13 20:34 17
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