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Tacuarembo vs Rentistas

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tacuarembo play Rentistas in the Segunda Division. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tacuarembo averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Rentistas averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. In past meetings, Tacuarembo won 1, Rentistas won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Tacuarembo and 0.88 for Rentistas. This points to a Rentistas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Tacuarembo
33%
Draws
34%
Rentistas
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Rentistas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Tacuarembo picked up more points recently compared to Rentistas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Tacuarembo Clean Sheet 25%
Rentistas Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tacuarembo Rentistas
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 11 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Rentistas
1:1
Sep 7, 2025 Segunda Division
Rentistas vs Tacuarembo
3:1
Jun 15, 2025 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Rentistas
2:1
Sep 21, 2024 Segunda Division
Rentistas vs Tacuarembo
2:0
Jun 5, 2024 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Rentistas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tacuarembo Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Rentistas Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tacuarembo 35 / 100
Rentistas 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tacuarembo Rentistas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Rentistas or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tacuarembo attacking → ← attacking Rentistas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tacuarembo scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Rentistas let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Tacuarembo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Rentistas lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 36
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Atenas961217:819
2Cerrito943214:1315
3River Plate Montevideo942314:1414
4Tacuarembo94238:814
5Fenix934214:1113
6Miramar934214:1113
7Plaza Colonia94148:813
8Colon93338:912
9Huracan FC93338:1012
10Club Oriental De Futbol925214:1211
11Rentistas93248:1211
12La Luz92436:810
13Paysandu FC921611:157
14Uruguay Montevideo FC92169:147