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Tacuarembo vs Sud America

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Barcellos A.
89' Event
Gularte S.
90' Event
Gonzalez M.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2024 game between Tacuarembo and Sud America finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tacuarembo
33%
Draws
27%
Sud America
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Tacuarembo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Tacuarembo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tacuarembo are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tacuarembo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Tacuarembo Clean Sheet 68%
Sud America Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tacuarembo Sud America
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 11 10
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2024 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Sud America
2:2
Jun 22, 2024 Segunda Division
Sud America vs Tacuarembo
0:2
Mar 30, 2024 Segunda Division
Sud America vs Tacuarembo
0:2
Nov 11, 2023 Segunda Division
Sud America vs Tacuarembo
1:2
Jun 25, 2023 Segunda Division
Tacuarembo vs Sud America
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tacuarembo Compare

Top Goalscorer Gularte S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sud America Compare

Top Goalscorer Barcellos A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tacuarembo 50 / 100
Sud America 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tacuarembo Sud America

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tacuarembo scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Sud America conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Sud America lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tacuarembo VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%