Sport Picks
Tacuary vs Independiente FBC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Division Intermedia Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni, Asunción 
Match Events
13'
13'
29'
29'
Arce P.
51'
51'
Arce P.
AI Match Summary
The Division Intermedia game between Tacuary and Independiente FBC finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tacuary.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independiente FBC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Independiente FBC carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Independiente FBC a 48% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Tacuary have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Tacuary Clean Sheet 13%
Independiente FBC Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tacuary | Independiente FBC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 5 | 12 |
| Draws | 12 | 11 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.67 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 20, 2026 Division Intermedia
Tacuary vs Independiente FBC
3:2
Jul 13, 2026 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Tacuary
2:2
Aug 20, 2025 Division Intermedia
Tacuary vs Independiente FBC
1:0
May 14, 2025 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Tacuary
0:1
Sep 17, 2021 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Tacuary
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tacuary Compare
Top Goalscorer Arce P.
2 Goals Assists Leader Valdez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Independiente FBC Compare
Top Goalscorer Morel F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tacuary 27 / 100
Independiente FBC 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tacuary Independiente FBC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Independiente FBC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Tacuary scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Independiente FBC has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Tacuary stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tacuary VS Independiente FBC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Tacuary
(Home) 20 Oct
Tacuary
3 : 2 Independiente FBC
09 Oct
Tacuary
2 : 4 Paraguari AC
03 Oct
Atletico Tembetary
3 : 2 Tacuary
26 Sept
Tacuary
2 : 1 Benjamin Aceval
20 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
0 : 0 Tacuary
Page 1 of 6
20 Oct
Tacuary
3 : 2 Independiente FBC
09 Oct
Tacuary
2 : 4 Paraguari AC
26 Sept
Tacuary
2 : 1 Benjamin Aceval
15 Sept
Tacuary
1 : 2 12 de Junio
05 Sept
Tacuary
0 : 3 Deportivo Santani
Page 1 of 4
Independiente FBC
(Away) 20 Oct
Tacuary
3 : 2 Independiente FBC
10 Oct
Independiente FBC
3 : 0 Atletico Tembetary
06 Oct
Benjamin Aceval
2 : 3 Independiente FBC
30 Sept
Independiente FBC
3 : 2 Nacional Asuncion
25 Sept
Independiente FBC
0 : 1 Sportivo Carapegua
Page 1 of 7
20 Oct
Tacuary
3 : 2 Independiente FBC
06 Oct
Benjamin Aceval
2 : 3 Independiente FBC
20 Sept
12 de Junio
0 : 4 Independiente FBC
09 Sept
Deportivo Santani
1 : 2 Independiente FBC
28 Aug
3 de Noviembre
5 : 2 Independiente FBC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Santani | 29 | 18 | 3 | 8 | 49:27 | 57 |
| 2 | General Caballero JLM | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 58:37 | 56 |
| 3 | 12 de Junio | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 39:28 | 54 |
| 4 | Sol de America | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 36:29 | 44 |
| 5 | Paraguari AC | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 42:37 | 44 |
| 6 | Independiente FBC | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 45:38 | 43 |
| 7 | Benjamin Aceval | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 43:39 | 42 |
| 8 | Sportivo Carapegua | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 37:43 | 42 |
| 9 | Resistencia | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 34:34 | 39 |
| 10 | Atletico Tembetary | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 40:47 | 36 |
| 11 | Deportivo Capiata | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 36:39 | 35 |
| 12 | Fernando de la Mora | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32:42 | 34 |
| 13 | 3 de Noviembre | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 36:44 | 29 |
| 14 | Guairena FC | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 23:38 | 28 |
| 15 | Tacuary | 29 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 35:49 | 27 |
| 16 | Encarnacion FC | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 28:42 | 25 |
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)
