Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tadamon vs Al-Mabarrah

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event
Fouani H.
85' Event
Kharoubi A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Tadamon
20%
Draws
10%
Al-Mabarrah
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tadamon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Al-Mabarrah have won more games recently than Tadamon.
  • Tadamon are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Tadamon Clean Sheet 68%
Al-Mabarrah Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tadamon Al-Mabarrah
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 9 9
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.87 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.58 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2026 Premier League
Tadamon vs Al-Mabarrah
1:1
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League
Al-Mabarrah vs Tadamon
0:3
May 3, 2014 Premier League
Tadamon vs Al-Mabarrah
3:1
Oct 27, 2013 Premier League
Al-Mabarrah vs Tadamon
0:1
Mar 31, 2012 Premier League
Tadamon vs Al-Mabarrah
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tadamon Compare

Top Goalscorer Fouani H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Mabarrah Compare

Top Goalscorer Kharoubi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tadamon 95 / 100
Al-Mabarrah 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tadamon Al-Mabarrah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tadamon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Mabarrah has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Tadamon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Al-Mabarrah's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tadamon VS Al-Mabarrah
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Tadamon

(Home)
29 Jul
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
2 : 1
Tadamon
21 Jul
Tadamon
1 : 0
Racing
17 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 0
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
10 Jul
Racing
1 : 3
Tadamon
03 Jul
Tadamon
0 : 3
Al Ansar
Page 1 of 7

Al-Mabarrah

(Away)
03 Jul
Safa
4 : 0
Al-Mabarrah
29 Jun
Al-Mabarrah
0 : 7
Al Ansar
25 Jun
Al Hikma
4 : 2
Al-Mabarrah
21 Jun
Nejmeh SC
5 : 0
Al-Mabarrah
16 Jun
Tadamon
1 : 1
Al-Mabarrah
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 21 17 2 2 53:9 53
2 Nejmeh SC 21 14 4 3 42:10 46
3 Al Ahed 21 13 1 7 34:22 40
4 Jwayya SC 21 11 5 5 31:14 38
5 Safa 21 11 3 7 30:17 36
6 Al Hikma 21 9 3 9 29:27 30
7 Al Sahel 21 7 6 8 22:21 27
8 Al-Mabarrah 21 5 7 9 12:36 22
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 21 5 5 11 16:30 20
10 Tadamon 21 3 8 10 12:26 17
11 Racing 21 0 1 20 4:61 1
12 Bourj 11 3 1 7 8:20 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation)