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Tadcaster Albion vs Chester - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with Chester advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Tadcaster Albion
15%
Draws
73%
Chester
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chester

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Chester carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Chester a 73% chance of winning this.
  • Chester arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Chester, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Tadcaster Albion Clean Sheet 16%
Chester Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tadcaster Albion Chester
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 17
Draws 4 5
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 1.4 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.4 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2023 FA Cup
Tadcaster Albion vs Chester
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tadcaster Albion 11 / 100
Chester 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tadcaster Albion Chester

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chester Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Tadcaster Albion scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Chester let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: Chester registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tadcaster Albion VS Chester
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Tadcaster Albion

(Home)
08 Sept
Tadcaster Albion
0 : 2
Lancaster
05 Sept
Lancaster
1 : 1
Tadcaster Albion
14 Jul
Tadcaster Albion
0 : 2
Guiseley
12 Jul
Tadcaster Albion
1 : 2
Garforth
10 Jul
Tadcaster Albion
0 : 3
Bradford PA
Page 1 of 6

Chester

(Away)
03 Oct
Spennymoor
4 : 1
Chester
26 Sept
Chester
4 : 1
Worksop
19 Sept
Lower Breck
1 : 2
Chester
12 Sept
Buxton
3 : 1
Chester
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1
Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Darlington FC -
TBD -
Workington 6
Prestwich Heys 0
Farsley -
TBD -
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Scarborough Athletic -
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Oxford City -
Altrincham -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Oldham -
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Clitheroe 1
Hyde 2
Brighouse Town 2
Albion Sports 4
Spennymoor -
TBD -
Guiseley 0
Marine 3
Blyth Spartans -
TBD -
Consett 0
Bradford PA 2
Lincoln Utd. 2
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
Worksop 4
Sheffield FC 1
Rushall -
TBD -
Nuneaton 1
Carlton Town 2
Boston United -
TBD -
Leamington 2
Coleshill Town 0
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sherwood Colliery 1
Worcester 2
Leek Town 5
Grimsby Borough 0
South Shields -
TBD -
Bishop Auckland 2
West Auckland Town 1
Hereford -
TBD -
Anstey Nomads 3
Hanley Town 0
Biggleswade FC 8
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Leighton Town 1
Cambridge City 6
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
Rochdale -
York City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Peterborough Sports -
TBD -
Redditch 5
Boldmere St Michaels 0
Hashtag 1
Brentwood 0
Romania 0
Needham Market 3
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stortford -
TBD -
Biggleswade Town 5
New Salamis FC 1
Barton 2
Milton Keynes Irish 1
Concord Rangers 1
Wroxham 4
Chesterfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Hitchin 2
Welwyn Garden 1
Mildenhall 0
Sudbury 5
Hullbridge 0
Kettering 1
Sporting Khalsa 5
Darlaston Town (1874) 4
Cleethorpes 2
Hinckley LR 1
TBD -
Alfreton -
Bamber Bridge 0
Mossley AFC 4
Widnes FC 2
AFC Emley 5
Whickham 1
Macclesfield 4
TBD -
Buxton -
United of Manchester 1
Barnoldswick Town 0
Warrington Rylands 1
Stockton 0
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tadcaster Albion 2
Heaton Stannington 1
TBD -
Chester -
Nantwich 3
Shifnal Town 2
TBD -
Banbury -
Rugby 0
Barwell 2
Ashby Ivanhoe 0
Bromsgrove 2
Ware 3
Dereham 2
TBD -
Chelmsford -
Goole 0
Whitby 6
Prescot Cables 4
North Ferriby FC 2
Morpeth 3
Radcliffe 2
TBD -
Southport -
Warrington Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Curzon Ashton -
Charnock Richard 4
Runcorn Linnets 5
TBD -
Chorley -
Telford 0
Coalville Town 1
Stafford 2
Atherstone 0
Tamworth -
TBD -
Harborough 3
Stamford 1
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster 2
Witton Albion 1
Ossett United 0
Marske United 3
Ashton United 3
Dunston 1
FC Guisborough Town 0
Atherton Collieries 4
Long Eaton 1
Stourbridge 3
Gainsborough 3
Matlock 6
Mickleover 3
Ilkeston 0
Stratford 1
Spalding United 2
TBD -
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Gateshead -
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
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Ascot United 1
Westfield 0
Faversham 0
Lewes 4
Southall FC 5
Beaconsfield Town 4
TBD -
Hampton & Richmond -
Tiverton 0
Wimborne 1
TBD -
Torquay -
Chippenham Town -
TBD -
Hungerford 4
Petersfield 0
Reading City 3
Shaftesbury Town 1
Winchester City 3
Evesham 2
Hadley 2
Steyning Town 3
TBD -
Maidstone -
Gloucester City -
TBD -
AFC Totton 5
Sholing 1
Eastbourne United 2
Epsom 1
Berkhamsted Town 5
Beckenham Town 4
Cray Wanderers 5
Newhaven FC 1
Chatham 1
Ramsgate 5
Plymouth Parkway 2
Dorchester 0
Frome Town 3
Clevedon 1
King’s Lynn -
TBD -
TBD -
Aveley -
Kirkley & Pakefield 1
FC Witham Town 2
Hornchurch 5
Fakenham 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Barnet -
Bedford 5
Walthamstow FC 0
Heybridge 1
Gorleston 3
Royston Town 1
Cheshunt 0
TBD -
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Leatherhead 1
Horsham FC 2
Marlow 2
Croydon Athletic 0
Knaphill 1
Hanwell Town 0
Hythe 0
Hanworth Villa 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Dorking Wanderers -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Dover Ath. -
TBD -
Erith & Belvedere 1
Hastings 2
Dulwich Hamlet 2
Haringey Borough 3
TBD -
Tonbridge -
Yeovil -
TBD -
AFC Stoneham 5
Basingstoke 4
Didcot 5
Tadley Calleva 1
Bishops Cleeve 2
Bristol Manor Farm 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Southend -
Bromley -
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Wealdstone -
Whitstable Town 2
Wingate & Finchley 3
TBD -
Farnborough -
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Canvey Island 5
Lowestoft 1
TBD -
Braintree -
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
Flackwell Heath 1
Farnham 2
Walton & Hersham 1
Chesham 3
Hendon 2
Margate 3
Hartley Wintney 0
Folkestone 4
Harrow Borough 0
Bracknell Town 2
TBD -
Havant & Waterlooville -
Horndean 3
Bideford 0
Poole Town 3
Barnstaple Town 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Sevenoaks 1
Whitehawk 2
Redhill 1
Herne Bay 0
Okehampton Argyle 1
Highworth 3
TBD -
Weymouth -
Larkhall 3
Moneyfields 0
TBD -
Bath City -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Laverstock & Ford 2
Gosport Borough 7
Swindon Supermarine 1
Cribbs 2
Dartford -
TBD -
TBD -
Welling -
Lancing 2
Carshalton 5
Kingstonian 4
Lydd Town 1
Binfield 2
Northwood 3
Uxbridge 0
Cray Valley 3
Halesowen 7
Rugby Borough 0
Alvechurch 1
Basford Utd. 0
Enfield Town 3
Potters 0
Woodford Town 1
Felixstowe & Walton 4
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mousehole 5
Bashley 3
Salisbury 3
Bridgwater United 2
Hayes & Yeading 2
Chertsey Town 1
TBD -
Slough Town -
Brightlingsea 2
Sawbridgeworth 0
Billericay 7
Stowmarket Town 0
Leiston 2
St Ives Town 1
TBD -
St. Albans -
Merthyr Town 5
Yate 1
TBD -
Taunton Town -
Sheppey United 3
Kennington 1
Burgess Hill 2
Bognor Regis 0
Quarter-finals
Darlington FC 3
Workington 1
Farsley 1
Scarborough Athletic 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford City -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oldham -
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hyde 2
Albion Sports 1
Spennymoor 3
Marine 4
Blyth Spartans 4
Bradford PA 2
Lincoln Utd. 0
Worksop 3
Rushall 3
Carlton Town 2
Boston United 4
Leamington 0
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Worcester 0
Leek Town 2
South Shields 2
Bishop Auckland 0
Hereford 2
Anstey Nomads 0
Biggleswade FC 1
Cambridge City 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rochdale -
York City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Peterborough Sports 3
Redditch 1
Hashtag 0
Needham Market 1
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stortford 4
Biggleswade Town 6
Barton 5
Wroxham 4
Chesterfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hitchin 3
Sudbury 0
Kettering 1
Sporting Khalsa 0
Cleethorpes 2
Alfreton 4
Mossley AFC 2
AFC Emley 4
Macclesfield 2
Buxton 0
United of Manchester 0
Warrington Rylands 4
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tadcaster Albion 1
Chester 3
Nantwich 2
Banbury 1
Barwell 1
Bromsgrove 2
Ware 4
Chelmsford 5
Whitby 2
Prescot Cables 1
Morpeth 3
Southport 0
Warrington Town 2
Curzon Ashton 3
Runcorn Linnets 2
Chorley 4
Coalville Town 2
Stafford 1
Tamworth 2
Harborough 1
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lancaster 4
Marske United 1
Ashton United 5
Atherton Collieries 3
Stourbridge 2
Matlock 0
Mickleover 3
Spalding United 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ascot United 1
Lewes 2
Southall FC 1
Hampton & Richmond 2
Wimborne 0
Torquay 3
Chippenham Town 1
Hungerford 4
Reading City 2
Winchester City 5
Steyning Town 1
Maidstone 4
Gloucester City 0
AFC Totton 3
Eastbourne United 1
Berkhamsted Town 3
Cray Wanderers 4
Ramsgate 5
Plymouth Parkway 3
Frome Town 4
King’s Lynn 0
Aveley 4
FC Witham Town 1
Hornchurch 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barnet -
Bedford 2
Gorleston 3
Royston Town 1
Hemel Hempstead 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Horsham FC 5
Marlow 3
Knaphill 0
Hanworth Villa 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dorking Wanderers -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. 3
Hastings 2
Haringey Borough 4
Tonbridge 2
Yeovil 7
AFC Stoneham 1
Didcot 2
Bristol Manor Farm 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Southend -
Bromley -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Wingate & Finchley 0
Farnborough 6
Weston-super-Mare 2
Truro 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Canvey Island 2
Braintree 4
Scunthorpe 1
Brackley 3
Farnham 1
Chesham 2
Margate 5
Folkestone 3
Bracknell Town 2
Havant & Waterlooville 1
Horndean 0
Poole Town 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Eastbourne Borough 0
Worthing FC 1
Whitehawk 4
Redhill 0
Highworth 1
Weymouth 3
Larkhall 2
Bath City 3
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gosport Borough 3
Cribbs 0
Dartford 2
Welling 3
Carshalton 4
Kingstonian 0
Northwood 5
Cray Valley 6
Halesowen 5
Alvechurch 2
Enfield Town 3
Felixstowe & Walton 0
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mousehole 0
Salisbury 5
Hayes & Yeading 0
Slough Town 2
Brightlingsea 1
Billericay 3
Leiston 1
St. Albans 2
Merthyr Town 3
Taunton Town 2
Sheppey United 3
Burgess Hill 0
Semi-finals
Darlington FC 1
Scarborough Athletic 2
TBD -
Oxford City -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
Oldham -
Halifax -
TBD -
Hyde 0
Marine 2
Blyth Spartans 1
Worksop 6
Rushall 0
Boston United 1
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
Leek Town 2
South Shields 0
Hereford 3
Cambridge City 0
TBD -
Rochdale -
York City -
TBD -
Peterborough Sports 0
Needham Market 3
Solihull Moors -
TBD -
Biggleswade Town 3
Barton 1
Chesterfield -
TBD -
Hitchin 0
Kettering 1
Alfreton 1
AFC Emley 0
Macclesfield 2
Warrington Rylands 1
Hartlepool -
TBD -
Chester 2
Nantwich 1
Bromsgrove 2
Chelmsford 5
Whitby 1
Morpeth 0
Curzon Ashton 2
Chorley 1
Coalville Town 0
Tamworth 2
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Lancaster 0
Ashton United 2
Stourbridge 2
Mickleover 0
TBD -
Gateshead -
Aldershot -
TBD -
Lewes 3
Hampton & Richmond 0
Torquay 5
Hungerford 0
Winchester City 0
Maidstone 2
AFC Totton 1
Berkhamsted Town 0
Ramsgate 2
Frome Town 1
Aveley 4
Hornchurch 3
TBD -
Barnet -
Gorleston 0
Hemel Hempstead 2
TBD -
Woking -
Horsham FC 3
Hanworth Villa 1
TBD -
Dorking Wanderers -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
Dover Ath. 2
Haringey Borough 1
Yeovil 2
Didcot 0
TBD -
Southend -
Bromley -
TBD -
TBD -
Wealdstone -
Farnborough 0
Weston-super-Mare 1
TBD -
Maidenhead -
Braintree 3
Brackley 2
Chesham 2
Margate 0
Bracknell Town 3
Poole Town 1
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Worthing FC 2
Whitehawk 1
Weymouth 1
Bath City 2
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
Gosport Borough 4
Welling 6
Carshalton 4
Cray Valley 5
Halesowen 1
Enfield Town 2
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
Salisbury 0
Slough Town 3
Billericay 1
St. Albans 0
Merthyr Town 1
Sheppey United 4
Final
Scarborough Athletic 5
Oxford City 4
Altrincham 0
Oldham 1
Halifax 0
Marine 1
Worksop 3
Boston United 2
AFC Fylde 3
Leek Town 1
Hereford 1
Rochdale 0
York City 1
Needham Market 0
Solihull Moors 4
Biggleswade Town 1
Chesterfield 5
Kettering 0
Alfreton 3
Macclesfield 1
Hartlepool 0
Chester 2
Chelmsford 3
Whitby 5
Curzon Ashton 1
Tamworth 0
Kidderminster 2
Ashton United 0
Stourbridge 0
Gateshead 3
Aldershot 4
Lewes 1
Torquay 0
Maidstone 2
AFC Totton 0
Ramsgate 1
Aveley 2
Barnet 6
Hemel Hempstead 0
Woking 2
Horsham FC 2
Dorking Wanderers 0
Eastleigh 1
Dover Ath. 0
Yeovil 2
Southend 0
Bromley 3
Wealdstone 2
Weston-super-Mare 0
Maidenhead 3
Braintree 1
Chesham 3
Bracknell Town 1
Dagenham & Red. 0
Worthing FC 2
Bath City 0
Boreham Wood 1
Welling 0
Cray Valley 5
Enfield Town 2
Ebbsfleet 2
Slough Town 4
Billericay 2
Sheppey United 3