Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Taffs Well vs Afan Lido

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Ferreira G.
7' Event
Griffiths L.
25' Event
Griffiths L.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru South 2024/2025 game between Taffs Well and Afan Lido finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Afan Lido.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Taffs Well
15%
Draws
46%
Afan Lido
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Afan Lido

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Afan Lido carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Afan Lido's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Taffs Well Clean Sheet 19%
Afan Lido Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taffs Well Afan Lido
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 3 13
Draws 5 3
Losses 22 18
Goals Scored 1.13 1.44
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Cymru South
Taffs Well vs Afan Lido
1:3
Aug 6, 2024 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Taffs Well
1:2
Apr 6, 2024 Cymru South
Taffs Well vs Afan Lido
4:1
Dec 15, 2023 Cymru South
Afan Lido vs Taffs Well
2:2
Apr 18, 2023 Cymru South
Taffs Well vs Afan Lido
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taffs Well Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Afan Lido Compare

Top Goalscorer Griffiths L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Williams D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taffs Well 16 / 100
Afan Lido 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taffs Well Afan Lido

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afan Lido Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: Taffs Well scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Afan Lido's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 34 matches.

Taffs Well went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Afan Lido
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Taffs Well

(Home)
18 Oct
Cardiff Metropolitan University
5 : 1
Taffs Well
20 Sept
Taffs Well
2 : 1
Abertillery Excelsiors
04 Jul
Taffs Well
0 : 4
Caerau Ely
25 Jun
Taffs Well
4 : 1
Cwmbran Town
21 Jun
Taffs Well
1 : 5
Carmarthen Town
Page 1 of 6

Afan Lido

(Away)
11 Sept
Pontypridd United
0 : 1
Afan Lido
04 Sept
Baglan Dragons
2 : 1
Afan Lido
31 Aug
Afan Lido
0 : 0
Ynyshir Albions
28 Aug
Trethomas Bluebirds
5 : 2
Afan Lido
21 Aug
Afan Lido
1 : 0
Pontardawe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanelli 30 18 10 2 64:25 64
2 Trethomas Bluebirds 30 17 8 5 53:33 59
3 Newport City 30 16 6 8 50:32 54
4 Trefelin 30 15 8 7 54:41 53
5 Pontypridd United 30 16 5 9 54:44 53
6 Cambrian United 30 13 11 6 50:38 47
7 Carmarthen Town 30 12 9 9 55:44 45
8 Baglan Dragons 30 11 10 9 44:34 43
9 Llantwit Major 30 11 10 9 37:34 43
10 Ammanford Town 30 11 3 16 47:50 36
11 Afan Lido 30 8 10 12 44:51 34
12 Caerau Ely 30 9 5 16 42:43 32
13 Cwmbran Celtic 30 9 3 18 39:62 30
14 Penrhiwceiber Rangers 30 7 7 16 30:57 28
15 Goytre Utd 30 6 5 19 41:72 23
16 Taffs Well 30 3 6 21 32:76 15
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2025/2026 (Main)