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Taffs Well vs Merthyr Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Simpson K.
32' Event
Clay J.
50' Event
Angel L.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Taffs Well and Merthyr Town finished 1-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merthyr Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Taffs Well
20%
Draws
36%
Merthyr Town
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Taffs Well

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Merthyr Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Merthyr Town taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Taffs Well Clean Sheet 14%
Merthyr Town Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taffs Well Merthyr Town
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 3 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.67 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2024 League Cup
Taffs Well vs Merthyr Town
1:3
Jul 12, 2024 Club Friendly
Taffs Well vs Merthyr Town
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taffs Well Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Merthyr Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Simpson K.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Clay J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taffs Well 15 / 100
Merthyr Town 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taffs Well Merthyr Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Merthyr Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merthyr Town has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.50 goals per match.

Taffs Well's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Taffs Well stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Merthyr Town
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Taffs Well

(Home)
18 Oct
Cardiff Metropolitan University
5 : 1
Taffs Well
20 Sept
Taffs Well
2 : 1
Abertillery Excelsiors
04 Jul
Taffs Well
0 : 4
Caerau Ely
25 Jun
Taffs Well
4 : 1
Cwmbran Town
21 Jun
Taffs Well
1 : 5
Carmarthen Town
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Merthyr Town

(Away)
26 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 2
Marine
22 Sept
Truro
2 : 0
Merthyr Town
19 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 1
Truro
12 Sept
Scarborough Athletic
0 : 0
Merthyr Town
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1
Merthyr Town
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