Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Taffs Well vs Pontardawe

Wales Wales

Cymru South 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Kostromin R.
(Penalty)
35' Event
Kostromin R.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Cymru South 2023/2024 game between Taffs Well and Pontardawe finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pontardawe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Taffs Well
15%
Draws
0%
Pontardawe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Taffs Well

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pontardawe come out ahead of Taffs Well on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Cymru South 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Taffs Well Clean Sheet 12%
Pontardawe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taffs Well Pontardawe
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 4 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 23 17
Goals Scored 1.12 1.35
Goals Conceded 2.55 2.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2024 Cymru South
Taffs Well vs Pontardawe
0:2
Aug 28, 2023 Cymru South
Pontardawe vs Taffs Well
1:3
Apr 29, 2023 Cymru South
Pontardawe vs Taffs Well
5:2
Aug 26, 2022 Cymru South
Taffs Well vs Pontardawe
4:1
Mar 31, 2015 Division 1
Taffs Well vs Pontardawe
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taffs Well 30 / 100
Pontardawe 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taffs Well Pontardawe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontardawe has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Difficult form: Pontardawe registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Taffs Well scored in 61% of their last 33 games.

Scoring Trends

Taffs Well VS Pontardawe
1.13 Goals Scored 0.71
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.57
88% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 71%
63% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Taffs Well

(Home)
18 Oct
Cardiff Metropolitan University
5 : 1
Taffs Well
20 Sept
Taffs Well
2 : 1
Abertillery Excelsiors
04 Jul
Taffs Well
0 : 4
Caerau Ely
25 Jun
Taffs Well
4 : 1
Cwmbran Town
21 Jun
Taffs Well
1 : 5
Carmarthen Town
Page 1 of 7

Pontardawe

(Away)
11 Sept
Pure Swansea
4 : 0
Pontardawe
28 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 0
Pontardawe
21 Aug
Afan Lido
1 : 0
Pontardawe
15 Aug
Pontardawe
0 : 4
Newport City
07 Aug
Pontypridd United
3 : 2
Pontardawe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Briton Ferry 30 23 2 5 87:39 71
2 Llanelli 30 20 4 6 80:40 64
3 Ammanford Town 30 17 6 7 60:42 57
4 Cambrian United 30 14 8 8 60:37 50
5 Caerau Ely 30 15 4 11 72:60 49
6 Carmarthen Town 30 12 11 7 50:39 47
7 Afan Lido 30 14 4 12 68:56 46
8 Goytre Utd 30 12 7 11 58:59 43
9 Cwmbran Celtic 30 12 6 12 69:64 42
10 Baglan Dragons 30 11 8 11 46:41 41
11 Trefelin 30 10 8 12 47:63 38
12 Llantwit Major 30 9 8 13 44:54 35
13 Taffs Well 30 8 8 14 44:49 32
14 Pontardawe 30 8 8 14 52:70 32
15 Abertillery Bluebirds 30 3 6 21 34:94 15
16 Abergavenny Town 30 2 2 26 20:84 8
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2024/2025 (Main)