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Tahiti U17 vs Vanuatu U17 Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U17 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Guillemant T.
36' Event
Timothy A.
Own Goal
82' Event
Judah D.

AI Match Summary

Tahiti U17 in this OFC Championship U17 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tahiti U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Tahiti U17
15%
Draws
21%
Vanuatu U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tahiti U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Tahiti U17 have won more games recently than Vanuatu U17.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Tahiti U17 taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tahiti U17 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Tahiti U17 Clean Sheet 17%
Vanuatu U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tahiti U17 Vanuatu U17
Matches Played 19 22
Wins 14 10
Draws 1 3
Losses 4 9
Goals Scored 3.53 2.77
Goals Conceded 0.74 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2023 OFC Championship U16
Tahiti U17 vs Vanuatu U17
2:1
Feb 12, 2017 OFC Championship U16
Tahiti U17 vs Vanuatu U17
1:0
Jan 22, 2015 OFC Championship U16
Tahiti U17 vs Vanuatu U17
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tahiti U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Guillemant T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Vanuatu U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Judah D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tahiti U17 84 / 100
Vanuatu U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tahiti U17 Vanuatu U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tahiti U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tahiti U17 found the back of the net in 95% of recent matches (19 games).

Defensive concern: Vanuatu U17 conceded in 73% of 22 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Tahiti U17 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tahiti U17 VS Vanuatu U17
3.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tahiti U17

(Home)
28 Jan
Tahiti U17
3 : 0
Fiji U17
25 Jan
New Caledonia U17
2 : 1
Tahiti U17
21 Jan
Tahiti U17
5 : 0
Tonga U17
14 Jan
Tahiti U17
6 : 0
Cook Islands U17
11 Jan
Tahiti U17
2 : 1
Vanuatu U17
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Vanuatu U17

(Away)
22 Jan
New Zealand U17
1 : 0
Vanuatu U17
17 Jan
Vanuatu U17
2 : 1
Cook Islands U17
11 Jan
Tahiti U17
2 : 1
Vanuatu U17
18 Feb
Vanuatu U17
2 : 3
New Caledonia U17
15 Feb
Papua New Guinea U17
3 : 3
Vanuatu U17
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fiji U17 2 2 0 0 6:0 6
2 Samoa U17 2 1 0 1 6:3 3
3 Tonga U17 2 0 0 2 0:9 0
4 Papua New Guinea U17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand U17 2 2 0 0 14:2 6
2 New Caledonia U17 2 1 0 1 9:3 3
3 American Samoa U17 2 0 0 2 0:18 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tahiti U17 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
2 Vanuatu U17 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Cook Islands U17 2 0 0 2 1:8 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2023 (Play Offs)