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Tahiti U19 vs New Zealand U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U19 Samoa Football HQ, Apia
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Dieulangard M.
Own Goal
79' Event
Hill H.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Tahiti U19
15%
Draws
58%
New Zealand U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New Zealand U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • New Zealand U19 have won more games recently than Tahiti U19.
  • Win probability leans New Zealand U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • New Zealand U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor New Zealand U19, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and New Zealand U19 have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.6%
Tahiti U19 Clean Sheet 10%
New Zealand U19 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tahiti U19 New Zealand U19
Matches Played 20 21
Wins 10 21
Draws 2 0
Losses 8 0
Goals Scored 1.8 4.9
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 3.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 OFC Championship U19
Tahiti U19 vs New Zealand U19
0:2
Sep 2, 2026 OFC Championship U19
New Zealand U19 vs Tahiti U19
8:0
Sep 22, 2022 OFC Championship U19
New Zealand U19 vs Tahiti U19
2:0
Aug 19, 2018 OFC Championship U19
New Zealand U19 vs Tahiti U19
1:0
Aug 6, 2018 OFC Championship U19
New Zealand U19 vs Tahiti U19
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tahiti U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

New Zealand U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hill H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.01
Avg xA / game 1.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tahiti U19 10 / 100
New Zealand U19 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tahiti U19 New Zealand U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Zealand U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Tahiti U19's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Tahiti U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

New Zealand U19 let in goals in 14% of their last 21 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tahiti U19 VS New Zealand U19
1 Goals Scored 4.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tahiti U19

(Home)
14 Sept
Tahiti U19
0 : 2
New Zealand U19
10 Sept
Solomon Islands U19
1 : 2
Tahiti U19
07 Sept
Tahiti U19
2 : 1
Fiji U19
04 Sept
Vanuatu U19
1 : 1
Tahiti U19
02 Sept
New Zealand U19
8 : 0
Tahiti U19
Page 1 of 4

New Zealand U19

(Away)
14 Sept
Tahiti U19
0 : 2
New Zealand U19
11 Sept
New Zealand U19
6 : 1
New Caledonia U19
08 Sept
Vanuatu U19
0 : 6
New Zealand U19
05 Sept
New Zealand U19
2 : 0
Fiji U19
02 Sept
New Zealand U19
8 : 0
Tahiti U19
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Solomon Islands U19 1
Tahiti U19 2
New Zealand U19 6
New Caledonia U19 1
Final
Tahiti U19 0
New Zealand U19 2
Solomon Islands U19 1
New Caledonia U19 0