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Tahiti U19 vs Tonga U19

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U19 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Nordman R.
51' Event
Morgant K.

AI Match Summary

Tahiti U19 in this OFC Championship U19 2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tahiti U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Tahiti U19
20%
Draws
29%
Tonga U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tahiti U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tahiti U19 lately — more wins on the board than Tonga U19.
  • Model gives Tahiti U19 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Championship U19 2018 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Tahiti U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Tonga U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tahiti U19 Tonga U19
Matches Played 20 14
Wins 10 3
Draws 2 2
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.8 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.25 3.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2022 OFC Championship U19
Tonga U19 vs Tahiti U19
0:8
Aug 12, 2018 OFC Championship U19
Tahiti U19 vs Tonga U19
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tahiti U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nordman R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morgant K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Tonga U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tahiti U19 85 / 100
Tonga U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tahiti U19 Tonga U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tahiti U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tonga U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 14 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Tahiti U19 scored in 70% of their last 20 games.

Tahiti U19 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tahiti U19 VS Tonga U19
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 3
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 83%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tahiti U19

(Home)
14 Sept
Tahiti U19
0 : 2
New Zealand U19
10 Sept
Solomon Islands U19
1 : 2
Tahiti U19
07 Sept
Tahiti U19
2 : 1
Fiji U19
04 Sept
Vanuatu U19
1 : 1
Tahiti U19
02 Sept
New Zealand U19
8 : 0
Tahiti U19
Page 1 of 4

Tonga U19

(Away)
10 Jun
Tonga U19
1 : 4
Cook Islands U19
07 Jun
Tonga U19
0 : 4
Papua New Guinea U19
15 Apr
American Samoa U19
3 : 4
Tonga U19
12 Apr
Tonga U19
0 : 3
Vanuatu U19
09 Apr
Tonga U19
1 : 1
Cook Islands U19
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand U19 3 3 0 0 20:1 9
2 Tahiti U19 3 2 0 1 9:2 6
3 Papua New Guinea U19 3 1 0 2 4:10 3
4 Tonga U19 3 0 0 3 0:20 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Solomon Islands U19 3 3 0 0 5:2 9
2 New Caledonia U19 3 1 1 1 11:5 4
3 Fiji U19 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
4 Vanuatu U19 3 0 0 3 2:12 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2018 (Play Offs)