Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tahiti U19 vs Vanuatu U19

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U19 2022 Stade Pater, Papeete
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Shan M.
89'
Sopuso S.
89'
Sopuso S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Tahiti U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Tahiti U19
30%
Draws
16%
Vanuatu U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tahiti U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Tahiti U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Tahiti U19 a 54% chance of winning this.
  • Tahiti U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tahiti U19, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Tahiti U19 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Tahiti U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Vanuatu U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tahiti U19 Vanuatu U19
Matches Played 20 23
Wins 10 7
Draws 2 4
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.8 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 OFC Championship U19
Vanuatu U19 vs Tahiti U19
1:1
Jul 8, 2024 OFC Championship U19
Vanuatu U19 vs Tahiti U19
0:1
Sep 19, 2022 OFC Championship U19
Tahiti U19 vs Vanuatu U19
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tahiti U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Shan M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Vanuatu U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tahiti U19 83 / 100
Vanuatu U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tahiti U19 Vanuatu U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tahiti U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Tahiti U19 scored in 70% of their last 20 outings.

Vanuatu U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 23 matches.

Recent resilience: Tahiti U19 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Vanuatu U19 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tahiti U19 VS Vanuatu U19
1.25 Goals Scored 2
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tahiti U19

(Home)
14 Sept
Tahiti U19
0 : 2
New Zealand U19
10 Sept
Solomon Islands U19
1 : 2
Tahiti U19
07 Sept
Tahiti U19
2 : 1
Fiji U19
04 Sept
Vanuatu U19
1 : 1
Tahiti U19
02 Sept
New Zealand U19
8 : 0
Tahiti U19
Page 1 of 4

Vanuatu U19

(Away)
12 Sept
Samoa U19
3 : 1
Vanuatu U19
08 Sept
Vanuatu U19
0 : 6
New Zealand U19
04 Sept
Vanuatu U19
1 : 1
Tahiti U19
01 Sept
Fiji U19
7 : 2
Vanuatu U19
21 Aug
Vanuatu U19
3 : 3
Australia U17
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
New Zealand U19 5
Papua New Guinea U19 0
Tahiti U19 1
Vanuatu U19 0
New Caledonia U19 1
Solomon Islands U19 0
Fiji U19 4
Samoa U19 1
Semi-finals
New Zealand U19 2
Tahiti U19 0
New Caledonia U19 0
Fiji U19 1
Final
New Zealand U19 3
Fiji U19 0
Tahiti U19 1
New Caledonia U19 2