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Tai Po vs Lee Man Warriors - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Hong Kong Hong Kong

Premier League
Sat, Dec 12, 2026
VS
07:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tai Po host Lee Man Warriors in the Premier League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Tai Po at 2.03 goals for, 1.54 against; Lee Man Warriors at 2.48 for, 1.12 against. Head-to-head, Tai Po have won 2 to Lee Man Warriors's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 17, 2026, ending 2:3. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.88) point toward Lee Man Warriors. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Tai Po
15%
Draws
46%
Lee Man Warriors
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lee Man Warriors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Tai Po have managed 2.03 goals a game lately — Lee Man Warriors are scoring more at 2.48.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Tai Po taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Tai Po Clean Sheet 10%
Lee Man Warriors Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tai Po Lee Man Warriors
Matches Played 37 33
Wins 22 22
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 2.03 2.48
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Tai Po
2:3
Mar 11, 2026 League Cup
Lee Man Warriors vs Tai Po
1:0
Jan 17, 2026 Premier League
Tai Po vs Lee Man Warriors
3:5
Sep 27, 2025 Senior Shield
Lee Man Warriors vs Tai Po
2:3
Aug 30, 2025 Premier League
Lee Man Warriors vs Tai Po
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tai Po 40 / 100
Lee Man Warriors 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tai Po Lee Man Warriors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tai Po's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.60 goals.

Lee Man Warriors has conceded goals in 61% of their last 33 outings.

Tai Po went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tai Po VS Lee Man Warriors
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tai Po

(Home)
24 Oct
Tai Po
4 : 2
Kitchee
19 Oct
Tai Po
4 : 2
Southern District
15 Oct
Tai Po
0 : 1
Lion City Sailors
10 Oct
Tai Po
1 : 1
Kowloon City
04 Oct
Hong Kong Rangers
1 : 3
Tai Po
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Lee Man Warriors

(Away)
25 Oct
Hong Kong Rangers
2 : 4
Lee Man Warriors
19 Oct
Lee Man Warriors
1 : 5
Kitchee
11 Oct
Hong Kong Rangers
0 : 2
Lee Man Warriors
19 Sept
Shatin
0 : 1
Lee Man Warriors
11 Sept
Lee Man Warriors
2 : 1
Eastern District
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North District 6 5 1 0 16:1 16
2 Kitchee 6 5 1 0 19:5 16
3 Lee Man Warriors 6 5 0 1 14:6 15
4 Tai Po 6 3 1 2 13:10 10
5 Southern District 5 3 0 2 11:10 9
6 Eastern AA 6 1 1 4 9:13 4
7 Shatin 5 1 1 3 7:14 4
8 Kowloon City 5 1 1 3 5:12 4
9 Eastern District 5 1 1 3 7:12 4
10 Hong Kong FC 5 1 1 3 6:13 4
11 Hong Kong Rangers 7 1 0 6 6:17 3
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