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Taian Tiankuang vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

China China

League Two Taishan
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Qurban W.
45' Event
Bai Tianci
Assist: Gao Yixuan
46'
Sub
Palmanjan K. In: Beisen H.
Out: Palmanjan K.

AI Match Summary

Taian Tiankuang host Shanxi Chongde Ronghai in the League Two. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Taian Tiankuang at 0.75 goals for, 0.88 against; Shanxi Chongde Ronghai at 1.63 for, 1.25 against. Past meetings favor Taian Tiankuang slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 24, 2026, ending 3:2. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.25) point toward Taian Tiankuang. Taian Tiankuang in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Taian Tiankuang
22%
Draws
60%
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Shanxi Chongde Ronghai has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Taian Tiankuang.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Shanxi Chongde Ronghai.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in League Two provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Taian Tiankuang Clean Sheet 19%
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taian Tiankuang Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 0.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 League Two
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Taian Tiankuang
3:2
Apr 4, 2026 League Two
Taian Tiankuang vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
2:1
Jul 12, 2025 League Two
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Taian Tiankuang
0:0
May 7, 2025 League Two
Taian Tiankuang vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
1:0
Jul 28, 2024 League Two
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Taian Tiankuang
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taian Tiankuang Compare

Top Goalscorer Bai Tianci
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zeng Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurban Eysajan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taian Tiankuang 20 / 100
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taian Tiankuang Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taian Tiankuang scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Taian Tiankuang went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Taian Tiankuang VS Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
0.75 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shandong Taishan B16102423:1332
2Shanghai Port B1594227:1031
3Dalian Kewei1668213:826
4Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1573520:1424
5Taian Tiankuang1564516:1422
6Dalian Yingbo B1549214:1221
7Qingdao Red Lions1638514:1517
8Nantong Haimen1528516:1614
9Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic142845:1014
10Changchun Xidu152858:1814
11Shanghai Second1626815:2812
12Beijing Technology1416711:249
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guizhou Guiyang1591522:1328
2Shenzhen 20281676325:2027
3Hubei Istar1575323:1626
4Ganzhou Ruishi1666417:1524
5Xiamen Feilu1566324:1724
6Jiangxi Lushan1573519:1424
7Hangzhou Linping1648416:2320
8Guangzhou Dandelion1654717:2019
9Guangdong Mingtu1638517:1917
10Wenzhou Professional1536610:1715
11Chengdu Rongcheng B1635810:1814
12Wuhan Three Towns B151689:179