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Taiwan Steel vs Phnom Penh Crown Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 Utama Sport Center Kelapa Dua, Tangerang
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Match Events

13' Event
Aranda F.
Assist: Sakkouh M.
27' Event
Dyer M.
Assist: Kim Seo-In
42'
Sub
Yi-young Park In: Chhin V.
Out: Yi-young Park

AI Match Summary

Phnom Penh Crown in this AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Phnom Penh Crown.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Taiwan Steel
30%
Draws
37%
Phnom Penh Crown
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Phnom Penh Crown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Taiwan Steel lately — more wins on the board than Phnom Penh Crown.
  • Model gives Taiwan Steel a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Taiwan Steel Clean Sheet 20%
Phnom Penh Crown Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Taiwan Steel Phnom Penh Crown
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 17 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.03 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2025 AFC Challenge League
Taiwan Steel vs Phnom Penh Crown
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Taiwan Steel Compare

Top Goalscorer Aranda F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Estama J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Phnom Penh Crown Compare

Top Goalscorer Dyer M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Yem D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Taiwan Steel 36 / 100
Phnom Penh Crown 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Taiwan Steel Phnom Penh Crown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Taiwan Steel scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Phnom Penh Crown has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: Taiwan Steel remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Taiwan Steel VS Phnom Penh Crown
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Taiwan Steel

(Home)
20 Sept
Taiwan Steel
0 : 2
AC Taipei
13 Sept
Hang Yuen
1 : 1
Taiwan Steel
11 Aug
Central Stallions
2 : 3
Taiwan Steel
04 Aug
Taiwan Steel
3 : 1
Kaohsiung City
30 May
Taiwan Steel
1 : 0
Hang Yuen
Page 1 of 6

Phnom Penh Crown

(Away)
17 Sept
Phnom Penh Crown
2 : 1
Kuching City FC
12 Sept
Angkor Tiger
2 : 2
Phnom Penh Crown
05 Sept
Phnom Penh Crown
2 : 2
NagaWorld
17 May
Svay Rieng
1 : 2
Phnom Penh Crown
10 May
Phnom Penh Crown
3 : 0
NagaWorld
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shabab 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Altyn Asyr 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Abdysh-Ata Kant 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
4 Paro 3 0 1 2 4:7 1
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Kuwait 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
2 Al Ansar 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
3 Al Seeb 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Bashundara Kings 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Muras United 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
2 Al Arabi (Kuwait) 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 Safa 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Regar-TadAZ 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Svay Rieng 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
2 Manila Digger 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
3 Falcons 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Ezra 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dewa United 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Phnom Penh Crown 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
3 Taiwan Steel 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Shan United 3 0 0 3 3:9 0
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)