Sport Picks

Asia

AFC Championship U23 2016

Sri Lanka U23

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tajikistan U23 play Sri Lanka U23 in the AFC Championship U23 2016. Tajikistan U23 are favorites here. Recently, Tajikistan U23 averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded. Sri Lanka U23 averaged 0.2 goals scored and 3.8 conceded. In past meetings, Tajikistan U23 won 1, Sri Lanka U23 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 31, 2015 ended 5:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.40 for Tajikistan U23 and 1.10 for Sri Lanka U23. This points to a Tajikistan U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Tajikistan U23

Draws

Sri Lanka U23

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tajikistan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Tajikistan U23 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sri Lanka U23.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Tajikistan U23.
League standings and seasonal metrics in AFC Championship U23 2016 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 49%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Tajikistan U23 Clean Sheet 20%

Sri Lanka U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tajikistan U23	Sri Lanka U23
Matches Played	31	18
Wins	10	0
Draws	6	3
Losses	15	15
Goals Scored	1	0.2
Goals Conceded	2	3.8
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	3.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2015 AFC Asian Cup U23

Tajikistan U23 vs Sri Lanka U23

Possession: 43% - 49% Cards: 3 - 2

5:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tajikistan U23 85 / 100

Sri Lanka U23 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tajikistan U23 Sri Lanka U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAJ Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tajikistan U23 scored in 52% of their last 31 games.

Sri Lanka U23 let in goals in 94% of their last 18 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Tajikistan U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sri Lanka U23 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Tajikistan U23 VS Sri Lanka U23

1 Goals Scored 0.2

2 Goals Conceded 3.8

63% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 80%

38% Over 3.5 60%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Iraq U23	4	3	1	0	15:4	10
2	Oman U23	4	2	2	0	12:3	8
3	Bahrain U23	4	1	2	1	4:3	5
4	Lebanon U23	4	1	1	2	3:9	4
5	Maldives U23	4	0	0	4	2:17	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Jordan U23	3	2	1	0	12:3	7
2	Kuwait U23	3	1	2	0	5:3	5
3	Pakistan U23	3	1	0	2	3:8	3
4	Kyrgyzstan U23	3	0	1	2	1:7	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Saudi Arabia U23	4	3	1	0	9:1	10
2	Iran U23	4	3	0	1	15:2	9
3	Palestine U23	4	2	0	2	6:4	6
4	Afghanistan U23	4	1	1	2	2:8	4
5	Nepal U23	4	0	0	4	0:17	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	United Arab Emirates U23	3	3	0	8:0	9
2	Yemen U23	3	2	1	7:2	6
3	Tajikistan U23	3	1	2	6:6	3
4	Sri Lanka U23	3	0	3	1:14	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Syria U23	3	3	0	0	10:1	9
2	Uzbekistan U23	3	2	0	1	7:2	6
3	India U23	3	0	1	2	0:6	1
4	Bangladesh U23	3	0	1	2	0:8	1

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Australia U23	3	3	0	15:1	9
2	Myanmar U23	3	2	1	6:6	6
3	Chinese Taipei U23	3	1	2	3:8	3
4	Hong Kong U23	3	0	3	2:11	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	North Korea U23	3	2	1	0	8:1	7
2	Thailand U23	3	2	1	0	7:2	7
3	Cambodia U23	3	1	0	2	5:7	3
4	Philippines U23	3	0	0	3	2:12	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	South Korea U23	3	3	0	12:0	9
2	Indonesia U23	3	2	1	7:4	6
3	Timor-Leste U23	3	1	2	3:8	3
4	Brunei U23	3	0	3	0:10	0

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Japan U23	3	3	0	10:0	9
2	Vietnam U23	3	2	1	9:3	6
3	Malaysia U23	3	1	2	3:3	3
4	Macau U23	3	0	3	0:16	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	China U23	3	3	0	0	13:0	9
2	Laos U23	3	1	1	1	7:3	4
3	Singapore U23	3	0	2	1	2:7	2
4	Mongolia U23	3	0	1	2	2:14	1