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Tajikistan U23 vs Vietnam U23

World World

Friendly International 2024 Pamir Stadium
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Match Events

8'
Le Quoc Nhat Nam
23'
Sangov S.
46'
Sub
Rakhmatov S. In: Sharipov D.
Out: Rakhmatov S.

AI Match Summary

Vietnam U23 in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vietnam U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Tajikistan U23
30%
Draws
34%
Vietnam U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tajikistan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vietnam U23 lately — more wins on the board than Tajikistan U23.
  • Win probability leans Tajikistan U23's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Tajikistan U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Vietnam U23 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tajikistan U23 Vietnam U23
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 9 18
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.33 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.33 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2024 Friendly International
Tajikistan U23 vs Vietnam U23
0:0
Mar 20, 2024 Friendly International
Tajikistan U23 vs Vietnam U23
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tajikistan U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.25
Avg xA / game 0.17

Vietnam U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Le Quoc Nhat Nam
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tajikistan U23 36 / 100
Vietnam U23 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tajikistan U23 Vietnam U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vietnam U23 has conceded goals in 61% of their last 33 outings.

Vietnam U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Tajikistan U23 scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Tajikistan U23 VS Vietnam U23
0.33 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
17% Over 1.5 50%
17% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%