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Tak Chun Ka I vs Cheng Fung

Macao Macao

Elite League 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Choi W. H.
46' Event
Teng L.
63' Event
Silva R.

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2023 game between Tak Chun Ka I and Cheng Fung finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cheng Fung.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Tak Chun Ka I
20%
Draws
80%
Cheng Fung
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cheng Fung

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cheng Fung come out ahead of Tak Chun Ka I on wins alone.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Cheng Fung taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cheng Fung here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Tak Chun Ka I Clean Sheet 19%
Cheng Fung Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tak Chun Ka I Cheng Fung
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 4 15
Draws 1 10
Losses 25 15
Goals Scored 1.23 1.88
Goals Conceded 4.67 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Cheng Fung
1:2
Jul 29, 2023 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Cheng Fung
2:5
Apr 29, 2023 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Tak Chun Ka I
3:1
Sep 3, 2022 Elite League
Cheng Fung vs Tak Chun Ka I
6:2
Apr 10, 2022 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Cheng Fung
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tak Chun Ka I Compare

Top Goalscorer Choi W. H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Weng M. C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Cheng Fung Compare

Top Goalscorer Teng L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Silva R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tak Chun Ka I 10 / 100
Cheng Fung 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tak Chun Ka I Cheng Fung

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cheng Fung Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cheng Fung has conceded goals in 83% of their last 40 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.

Tak Chun Ka I scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Cheng Fung's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cheng Fung
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tak Chun Ka I

(Home)
28 Jul
Tak Chun Ka I
2 : 3
Sporting Macau
19 Jul
University of Macau
4 : 0
Tak Chun Ka I
14 Jul
Gala
10 : 0
Tak Chun Ka I
06 Jul
Monte Carlo
8 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
29 Jun
Sporting Macau
4 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
Page 1 of 6

Cheng Fung

(Away)
25 Jul
Cheng Fung
2 : 2
University of Macau
18 Jul
Cheng Fung
0 : 4
Shao Jiang
11 Jul
Cheng Fung
1 : 6
Must IPO
05 Jul
Chiba
1 : 1
Cheng Fung
27 Jun
Cheng Fung
1 : 4
Gala
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Must IPO 16 15 1 0 73:4 46
2 Benfica 16 13 1 2 57:14 40
3 Monte Carlo 16 12 1 3 64:15 37
4 Cheng Fung 16 10 1 5 45:20 31
5 Lun Lok 16 5 1 10 22:43 16
6 Hang Sai 16 4 1 11 24:75 13
7 Tak Chun Ka I 16 4 1 11 27:58 13
8 Sporting Macau 16 2 2 12 23:63 8
9 Toi Seng 16 2 1 13 17:60 7
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2024/2025 (Qualification)