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Tak Chun Ka I vs Gala Prediction & H2H Stats

Macao Macao

Elite League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Gomes W.
13' Event
Gomes W.
24' Event
Ho M.

AI Match Summary

Gala in this Elite League 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-9 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gala.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Tak Chun Ka I
15%
Draws
85%
Gala
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gala

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Tak Chun Ka I haven't matched Gala's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Gala taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Gala have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Tak Chun Ka I Clean Sheet 12%
Gala Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tak Chun Ka I Gala
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 4 24
Draws 1 4
Losses 25 10
Goals Scored 1.23 3.42
Goals Conceded 4.67 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2024 Elite League
Gala vs Tak Chun Ka I
10:0
May 12, 2024 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Gala
1:9
Mar 16, 2024 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Gala
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tak Chun Ka I Compare

Top Goalscorer Nascimento Josecler F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Gala Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomes W.
6 Goals
Assists Leader Ho M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tak Chun Ka I 10 / 100
Gala 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tak Chun Ka I Gala

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gala Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 8.67 goals.

Tak Chun Ka I found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Gala let in goals in 61% of their last 38 matches.

Gala lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gala
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Tak Chun Ka I

(Home)
28 Jul
Tak Chun Ka I
2 : 3
Sporting Macau
19 Jul
University of Macau
4 : 0
Tak Chun Ka I
14 Jul
Gala
10 : 0
Tak Chun Ka I
06 Jul
Monte Carlo
8 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
29 Jun
Sporting Macau
4 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
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Gala

(Away)
26 Jul
Gala
0 : 7
Shao Jiang
17 Jul
Gala
2 : 2
Must IPO
11 Jul
Gala
3 : 0
Chiba
04 Jul
Gala
3 : 2
G. Universe
27 Jun
Cheng Fung
1 : 4
Gala
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