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Tak Chun Ka I vs Hang Sai Prediction & H2H Stats

Macao Macao

Elite League 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Zeni Bernardo J. P.
45' Event
Fong K. W.
52' Event
Pacheco Junior P. C.

AI Match Summary

Hang Sai in this Elite League 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hang Sai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Tak Chun Ka I
15%
Draws
85%
Hang Sai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hang Sai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Hang Sai have won more games recently than Tak Chun Ka I.
  • Hang Sai are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Tak Chun Ka I Clean Sheet 20%
Hang Sai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tak Chun Ka I Hang Sai
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 4 12
Draws 1 7
Losses 25 14
Goals Scored 1.23 2.82
Goals Conceded 4.67 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2024 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Hang Sai
1:3
Jul 22, 2023 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Hang Sai
2:3
Apr 23, 2023 Elite League
Hang Sai vs Tak Chun Ka I
4:4
Jul 10, 2021 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Hang Sai
0:0
Apr 25, 2021 Elite League
Hang Sai vs Tak Chun Ka I
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tak Chun Ka I Compare

Top Goalscorer Pacheco Junior P. C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Hang Sai Compare

Top Goalscorer Fong K. W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Zeni Bernardo J. P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tak Chun Ka I 10 / 100
Hang Sai 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tak Chun Ka I Hang Sai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hang Sai Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hang Sai has conceded goals in 88% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Tak Chun Ka I's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Away concern: Hang Sai has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hang Sai
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tak Chun Ka I

(Home)
28 Jul
Tak Chun Ka I
2 : 3
Sporting Macau
19 Jul
University of Macau
4 : 0
Tak Chun Ka I
14 Jul
Gala
10 : 0
Tak Chun Ka I
06 Jul
Monte Carlo
8 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
29 Jun
Sporting Macau
4 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
Page 1 of 6

Hang Sai

(Away)
25 Jul
Benfica
4 : 5
Hang Sai
18 Jul
Artilheiros
4 : 4
Hang Sai
12 Jul
G. Universe
3 : 2
Hang Sai
05 Jul
University of Macau
1 : 7
Hang Sai
26 Jun
Hang Sai
2 : 5
Shao Jiang
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Must IPO 16 15 1 0 73:4 46
2 Benfica 16 13 1 2 57:14 40
3 Monte Carlo 16 12 1 3 64:15 37
4 Cheng Fung 16 10 1 5 45:20 31
5 Lun Lok 16 5 1 10 22:43 16
6 Hang Sai 16 4 1 11 24:75 13
7 Tak Chun Ka I 16 4 1 11 27:58 13
8 Sporting Macau 16 2 2 12 23:63 8
9 Toi Seng 16 2 1 13 17:60 7
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2024/2025 (Qualification)