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Tak Chun Ka I vs Sporting Macau Prediction & H2H Stats

Macao Macao

Elite League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Wu P.
27' Event
Liang Zheyu
29' Event
Liang Zheyu

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2024 game between Tak Chun Ka I and Sporting Macau finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tak Chun Ka I.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Tak Chun Ka I
15%
Draws
85%
Sporting Macau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Macau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Tak Chun Ka I haven't matched Sporting Macau's recent run of results.
  • Sporting Macau are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Elite League 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 94%
Over 4.5 Goals 42%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Tak Chun Ka I Clean Sheet 10%
Sporting Macau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tak Chun Ka I Sporting Macau
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 5
Draws 1 3
Losses 25 23
Goals Scored 1.23 1.06
Goals Conceded 4.67 4.26
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 28, 2024 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Sporting Macau
2:3
Jun 29, 2024 Elite League
Sporting Macau vs Tak Chun Ka I
4:1
Apr 21, 2024 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Sporting Macau
4:2
May 13, 2023 Elite League
Sporting Macau vs Tak Chun Ka I
5:2
Mar 10, 2023 Elite League
Tak Chun Ka I vs Sporting Macau
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tak Chun Ka I Compare

Top Goalscorer Liang Zheyu
2 Goals
Assists Leader Blanc S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.35
Avg xA / game 1.53

Sporting Macau Compare

Top Goalscorer Wu P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pedro I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tak Chun Ka I 18 / 100
Sporting Macau 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tak Chun Ka I Sporting Macau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Macau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Macau let in goals in 97% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 5.40 goals as a typical output.

Tak Chun Ka I scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Away concern: Sporting Macau has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Tak Chun Ka I VS Sporting Macau
1 Goals Scored 0.75
3.5 Goals Conceded 5.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
100% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Tak Chun Ka I

(Home)
28 Jul
Tak Chun Ka I
2 : 3
Sporting Macau
19 Jul
University of Macau
4 : 0
Tak Chun Ka I
14 Jul
Gala
10 : 0
Tak Chun Ka I
06 Jul
Monte Carlo
8 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
29 Jun
Sporting Macau
4 : 1
Tak Chun Ka I
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Sporting Macau

(Away)
03 Aug
Sporting Macau
1 : 3
Hang Sai
19 Jul
Gala
3 : 3
Sporting Macau
12 Jul
Lun Lok
1 : 2
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Sporting Macau
0 : 7
Chiba
28 Jun
Hang Sai
9 : 0
Sporting Macau
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Must IPO 9 8 1 0 49:2 25
2 Benfica 9 8 0 1 37:8 24
3 Cheng Fung 9 6 2 1 18:6 20
4 Hang Sai 9 4 1 4 16:22 13
5 Lun Lok 9 4 1 4 20:28 13
6 University of Macau 9 4 1 4 14:18 13
7 Monte Carlo 9 3 1 5 10:15 10
8 Gala 9 2 1 6 17:17 7
9 Tak Chun Ka I 9 1 0 8 10:44 3
10 Sporting Macau 9 0 2 7 8:39 2
Promotion - Elite League 2024 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Elite League 2024 (Relegation Group)