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Takovo vs Sloboda

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Srpska Liga - West 2025/2026 game between Takovo and Sloboda finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sloboda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Takovo
15%
Draws
78%
Sloboda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sloboda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sloboda come out ahead of Takovo on wins alone.
  • 78% — that's where the model lands on Sloboda taking it.
  • Regular Srpska Liga - West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Sloboda have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Takovo Clean Sheet 20%
Sloboda Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Takovo Sloboda
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 0.79 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 Srpska Liga - West
Sloboda vs Takovo
1:0
Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Takovo vs Sloboda
4:0
May 31, 2026 Srpska Liga - West
Takovo vs Sloboda
1:3
Nov 8, 2025 Srpska Liga - West
Sloboda vs Takovo
4:1
Apr 30, 2022 Srpska Liga - West
Sloboda vs Takovo
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Takovo 10 / 100
Sloboda 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Takovo Sloboda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sloboda Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Sloboda has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Attacking prowess: Takovo scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Takovo went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Takovo VS Sloboda
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Takovo

(Home)
27 Sept
Takovo
0 : 1
Djerdap Golubac
23 Sept
Sloboda
1 : 0
Takovo
19 Sept
Takovo
1 : 2
Jedinstvo Putevi
12 Sept
Vujan Prislonica
1 : 1
Takovo
05 Sept
Takovo
0 : 1
Radnicki Valjevo
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Sloboda

(Away)
27 Sept
FAP
2 : 1
Sloboda
23 Sept
Sloboda
1 : 0
Takovo
19 Sept
OFK Napredak
0 : 2
Sloboda
12 Sept
Sloboda
1 : 0
Buducnost Krusik
06 Sept
Radevac
0 : 3
Sloboda
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metalac 30 20 8 2 52:17 68
2 Real Podunavci 30 13 10 7 37:29 49
3 Radnicki Valjevo 30 13 5 12 43:38 44
4 Zeleznicar Lajkovac 30 11 10 9 42:30 43
5 Omladinac Zablace 30 10 12 8 36:30 42
6 FK Zlatibor Cajetina 30 11 8 11 29:33 41
7 Sloboda 30 9 14 7 33:24 41
8 Buducnost Krusik 30 10 10 10 34:33 40
9 Jedinstvo Putevi 30 11 6 13 35:39 39
10 FK Sumadija 1903 Kragujevac 30 9 12 9 29:28 39
11 OFK Napredak 30 8 14 8 36:33 38
12 Takovo 30 9 10 11 23:29 37
13 Sloga Pozega 30 9 9 12 29:33 36
14 Mladi Radnik Radinac 30 9 7 14 31:52 34
15 Josanica 30 6 10 14 30:45 28
16 Polimlje 30 5 9 16 24:50 24
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Main)